377
FNUS28 KWNS 012054
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0353 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024

Valid 031200Z - 091200Z

Relatively benign fire weather conditions are expected late this
week and over the weekend. However, by the end of the weekend and
into early next week a strong tough is expected to develop across
the western CONUS with strong mid-level flow across the Southwest
and lee cyclogenesis in the Plains. This will result in several days
of severe weather concern across portions of the southern High
Plains.

...D5/Sunday - Southern New Mexico....
Stronger mid-level flow will start to spread east on Sunday as the
western CONUS mid-level trough advances east. There is still some
uncertainty with timing of this trough and slightly faster timing
could lead to Critical fire weather conditions on Sunday.

...D6/Mon-D8/Wed - Eastern New Mexico and vicinity....
Critical fire weather conditions are likely across eastern New
Mexico and vicinity Monday/Day6 and Tuesday/Day7 as moderate to
strong mid-level flow overspreads the southern High Plains with a
deeply mixed airmass and very dry surface conditions expected. These
winds will be further supported by the tightening pressure gradient
from cyclogenesis in the Plains. Critical fire weather conditions
may continue for most of next week to Day 8 and beyond, but there is
enough model uncertainty to precede 70% Critical probabilities at
this time.

..Bentley.. 05/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$