Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
937 FXXX01 KWNP 171333 DAYDSF :Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt :Issued: 2024 May 16 2200 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast. # :Solar_Analysis: Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 16/0804Z from Region 3685 (S13E64). There are currently 13 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. # :Solar_Forecast: Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (17 May, 18 May, 19 May). # :Geophysical_Activity: Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to major storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 529 km/s at 16/0528Z. Total IMF reached 17 nT at 16/0611Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -12 nT at 16/0656Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 22 pfu at 16/1115Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 602 pfu. # :Geophysical_Forecast: Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (17 May, 19 May) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (18 May). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a chance of crossing threshold on day one (17 May).