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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
000
FNUS53 KGRR 171939
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
339 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
...Precipitation again Thursday night, cool and dry this weekend...
.DISCUSSION...Thursday and much of Thursday afternoon will be dry.
However, shower and thunderstorms are expected Thursday night. Dry
and colder air will filter in Friday and Saturday with elevated
winds.
MIZ037>039-043>045-180815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
339 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms until 11 PM. Slight chance of
rain showers until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....40-45.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
1600-2100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....330-440 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 11 AM, then
cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
after 12 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....54-59.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent near Lake Michigan and 53-58
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 8
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
2200-2700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 2 AM, then partly
cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-210 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.23 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent near Lake Michigan and 33-38
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......22 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 28
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to around 31
mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
8000-8500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph increasing to around 35 mph
in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....2100 (excellent) increasing to 3120 (excellent)
in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-180815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
339 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-450 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2 AM, then a chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....38-43.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-250 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.22 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 52.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 30
mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7600-8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph increasing to around 35 mph
in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1940 (excellent) increasing to 3010 (excellent)
in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-180815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
339 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 AM, then
partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 29
mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-370 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then
cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
after 12 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....210-370 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers
until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.31 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 16 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 4900-5400 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 5200-5700 ft AGL increasing to
7400-7900 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1630 (excellent) increasing to 2730 (excellent)
in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-180815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
339 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 45.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-550 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then
cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent late in the day.
Max temperature.....58-63.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
until 2 AM. Chance of rain showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....40-45.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....130-260 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.28 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 17 to 22 mph with gusts to around 32
mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1770 (excellent) increasing to 2720 (excellent)
in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-180815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
339 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....510-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....63-68.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
until 2 AM. Chance of rain showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....120-350 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.49 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....52-57.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 16 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1440-1880 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds 9 to
14 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. West winds 8 to
13 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 9 to 14 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 6 to
11 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
$$
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