Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
541 FXUS64 KLZK 291937 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 237 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 A weak and dissipating cold front is presently located in the northwest part of Arkansas, and will slowly make its way across much of the state overnight. A wind shift will be barely perceptible on this weakening front, but dewpoints will lower notably. Showers and thunderstorms have developed along and ahead of the front this afternoon, at present extending from north central Arkansas into western Arkansas in a few bands. Another point of concern tonight will be the development of fog as the weak cold front rolls into areas that recently received rain. With light winds and clearing skies, patchy fog will be present over a good portion of the area, with potential dense fog in some areas. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday Night through next Monday) Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 Chances for showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast at times through the period across the state. Prior indications of at least a couple of days of dry weather and cooler temperatures appear more unlikely attm. At the sfc, warm/humid conditions will persist across much of the region with above normal temperatures expected each day. Aloft, H500 flow will largely be out of the SW ahead of a trough swinging across the Northern/Central Plains toward the Great Lakes. Mid-level ridging is expected to build across the SE US which will further influence the amplified flow across the region. From Thu-Fri as a leading shortwave lifts north across the area, showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop. This activity will be aided by a cold front set to move across the state. The front will only briefly linger before retreating back to the north. Some additional disturbances are likely to lift north in the SW flow aloft and help to provide periodic rain chances across the state through the end of the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 58 82 61 87 / 30 0 0 10 Camden AR 58 85 60 88 / 10 0 0 20 Harrison AR 53 82 59 85 / 0 0 10 10 Hot Springs AR 58 84 60 87 / 10 0 0 20 Little Rock AR 61 85 63 89 / 20 0 0 10 Monticello AR 62 83 62 88 / 20 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 57 85 60 87 / 10 0 0 20 Mountain Home AR 53 82 59 87 / 10 0 10 10 Newport AR 59 81 60 86 / 40 0 0 10 Pine Bluff AR 60 83 61 87 / 30 0 0 10 Russellville AR 56 84 60 88 / 10 0 0 10 Searcy AR 58 82 59 87 / 30 0 0 10 Stuttgart AR 61 82 62 86 / 40 0 0 10 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...53 LONG TERM....67