Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 250704
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
304 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

...No fire weather concerns...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure continues to track east of the Great
Lakes today through tonight, making way for low pressure and a cold
front, and associated showers and chance of thunderstorms, to arrive
later Monday into Tuesday. Winds are turning more out of the SE, and
will start increasing late today and tonight, but gusts are not
expected to be too bad. Winds are likely to be more gusty Monday and
Monday night. Still, no humidity issues foreseen.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-252015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
304 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (650).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1240).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph increasing to around 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-252015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
304 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (660).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1340).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph increasing to around 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-252015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
304 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 1 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (670).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1190).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph increasing to around 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-252015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
304 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (690).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1000).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph increasing to around 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-252015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
304 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (680).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1100).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph increasing to around 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SMD


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