Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 200747
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
347 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

.DISCUSSION...Relative hot and humid conditions will remain in place
today and Wednesday. A cold front is forecast to move across
Southeast Michigan late in the day Wednesday. This front will usher
in a cooler and much drier airmass for the end of the week, with min
RH values likely dropping below 40 percent.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-201915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
347 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until noon, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 6 am. Isolated thunderstorms
                    after noon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest up to 5 mph increasing to 5 to 10 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5830-6330 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 0 to 5 mph becoming southwest around
                    15 mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1280).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5060-5560 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1230).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-201915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
347 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until noon, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms after noon. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4790-5290 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph becoming southwest until
                    late afternoon, then increasing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1040).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 9 am until 3 pm. Chance
                    of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3640-4140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1020).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-201915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
347 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog after
                    3 am until 9 am. Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms after noon. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East up to 5 mph becoming south 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7050-7550 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1160).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 9 pm, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5390-5890 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1160).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s.

$$

TF


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