Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 241904
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
304 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

...Rain Likely Monday Night...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will give the area one more mild and comfortable
day on Sunday. Rain chances will gradually increase on Monday,
with everyone likely seeing rain Monday night.

MIZ037>039-043>045-250815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
304 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1100-1600
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 50-55
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 15
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-250815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
304 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-250815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
304 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.17 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-250815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
304 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-250815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
304 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.16 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening, then showers and thunderstorms likely overnight.
Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 7 to 12 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 8 to
13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. West winds
5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 6 to
11 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$



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