Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 201951
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Eglin AFB F-33...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
251 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered showers and storms possible late
this afternoon, then numerous to widespread showers and storms are
expected Sunday, followed with dry conditions on Monday. Afternoon
relative humidity values remain above critical levels this afternoon
and Sunday, but drop to near 30-35 percent over interior areas of the
Florida panhandle on Monday. Light southerly transport winds today
will become mostly northerly Sunday and Monday. Fair dispersion index
values this afternoon becoming fair to generally good Sunday and
generally good to good on Monday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog development is not expected
tonight or Sunday night.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1600, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...792-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....22.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  53  58
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30
LAL.............2   3   3
Temp............84  81  80
RH..............57  63  65
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  9
20 FT wind gust.14  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 2.6 2.6
Mix hgt (km)....1.0 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.SSW WSW SW
Transp wind spd.10  10  10
Trans wind dir..SSW WSW SW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4
Dispersion idx..23  21  21
LVORI...........2   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 1 until 0400, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-792 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph shifting to the north
                    around 6 mph early in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 4 meters/second shifting to the
                    north around 3 meters/second early in the
                    morning.
Dispersion index....21 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  67  67  66  66  70  74  78  79  79  80  80
Weather cov.....CHC                                     SCH SCH
Weather type....RW                                      RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC                                     SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20
LAL.............3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
Temp............77  74  73  71  70  70  69  68  67  68  66  66
RH..............69  71  73  81  87  88  91  93  96  91  97  96
20 FT wind dir..SW  SSW SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW W   WNW NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   6   5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.13  8   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  WSW W   W   W   W   WNW N
Transp wind spd.9   7   8   7   7   6   6   6   7   7   5   6
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  WSW W   W   W   W   WNW N
Trans spd (m/s).4   3   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   3
Dispersion idx..21  5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Showers through
                    the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1300, then 3 until 1600, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 12 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...244-671 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 15 mph increasing to around 16 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.North 3 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 36.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  81  83  86  88  89  89  90  86  81  77  70
Weather cov.....SCH LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  60  60  60  80  80  80  60  60  60  40  40
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2
Temp............66  64  65  66  68  69  68  70  67  66  65  64
RH..............95  100 94  87  78  73  73  66  70  70  70  69
20 FT wind dir..NNW N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.5   6   8   9   12  13  15  16  16  17  17  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.0 2.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.NNW NNW N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   12  13  12  13  14  13  15  16  16
Trans wind dir..NNW NNW N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   4   5   6   5   6   6   6   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..4   12  15  21  25  27  28  30  30  33  36  36
LVORI...........8   6   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Thomas Harrispn
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411517.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.harrison.22@us.af.mil


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