563
FNUS75 KTFX 042035
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Marsh Creek...Canyon Creek Fire
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
235 PM MDT Sat May 4 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 MDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Conditions are forecast warmer than normal through this weekend.
Today, is the driest day of this requested forecast period with
minimum relative humidity values falling as low as 15% to 20%.
Today`s winds are forecast light and southeasterly. Overnight,
winds shift northeasterly to northwesterly, and remain light.
Tomorrow during the early afternoon period, light winds return
southeasterly. Tomorrow afternoon and evening, there is an
increasing chance for rain showers, and a < 25% chance of
thunderstorm activity. Strong erratic gusty winds are forecast
near thunderstorms. As a heads-up, this coming week will be
characterized by widespread cooling and precipitation with gusty
winds, which may be strong, at times.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....63-68.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Southeast around 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....39-44.
Max humidity........60-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Southeast around 15 mph.
Haines Index........

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....64-69.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........South around 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Fogleman
Requested by...Rocky Infanger
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2413160.0/TFX
.DELDT 05/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wolfcreekchief877@hotmail.com, tfx.ops@noaa.gov