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000
FXUS61 KBGM 151746
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
146 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

High pressure will bring dry and mild conditions through
Tuesday. Another low pressure system will bring our next chance
for rain on Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...

A weak shortwave pushing across northern NY is bringing a few
sprinkles/isolated showers to northern Oneida County this
afternoon. These showers will be pushing east over the next
couple of hours and then clearing skies is expected. High
pressure builds overhead this evening and tonight and will
persist through the day on Tuesday.

The clear skies tonight will bring decent radiational cooling
and temperatures will drop into the mid to upper 30s most areas.
For Tuesday, warm and sunny conditions are expected with
afternoon highs likely a few degrees warmer than today. Most
locations will see low to mid 60s, however a few of the warmer
spots will make a run towards 70. Tomorrow night will see
increasing clouds toward daybreak on Wednesday, however, before
the clouds push in, temperatures will likely already have
dropped into the 30s for most locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
430 AM Update...

A warm front will pass through Central NY and NE PA Wednesday
morning, bringing rain showers across the area. Later that
night, a cold front will move through, maintaining chances for
rain showers into Thursday. Instability looks minimal, so low
chances for thunderstorms. Temperatures will be in the mid-50s
to low-60s Wednesday, and cool down to low- to mid-50s on
Thursday after the cold front passes through overnight
Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
430 AM Update...

From Friday through Saturday, there will be rain showers as an
upper-level low over Canada slowly drags a long and weak frontal
boundary over the region. It`ll cool down over those days with
the upper-level low swinging over our region, increasing chances
for mixed light rain and snow showers Saturday night through
Sunday morning, mainly for higher elevated areas in Central NY.
Saturday night will dip down to a few degrees below freezing in
those aforementioned higher elevated areas, and mid- to high-30s
elsewhere. Sunday night will be colder as well, with most areas
dipping to around freezing, but currently will likely remain
dry.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure building into the region this afternoon with
clearing skies expected by this evening. High confidence for VFR
through the period for everywhere except RME. For RME, a few
isolated showers this afternoon may bring brief MVFR conditions,
but confidence is too low to include in the forecast as showers
will be moving out of the area in the next hour or two.

Finally, winds will be gusty at times this afternoon, but winds
will dissipate around sunset this evening. Not expecting valley
fog overnight like we saw last night with high pressure and very
dry air pushing in.

Outlook...

Tuesday...Mainly VFR.

Wednesday through Friday: Chance of showers each day with
restrictions possible.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MPK
NEAR TERM...MPK
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...MPK