Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 212313
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Spot Forecast for SGL 123...Pennsylvania Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
713 PM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 EDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon RH values look to fall to around 25-30 percent Monday afternoon.
However, 1 hour fuel moisture looks to remain above 10% throughout the day with
any wind gusts under 15 mph in the afternoon. Our forecast will update again overnight,
feel free to request a new spot as needed. Forecast confidence is moderate to high.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 8 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE.............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 to 8.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  34  17  14  10  6   2   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............38  36  35  33  33  32  32  32  31  30
RH..............63  64  68  72  72  77  78  80  75  81
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   9   10  12  12  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.13  14  15  15  16  16  17  16  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  13  10  10  12  12  12  13  12  12
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
ADI.............8   8   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 18 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................11 early in the morning increasing to 122 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   7   11  15  11  6   2   3   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............30  31  34  37  39  41  44  46  48  49  50  50
RH..............81  81  72  61  54  46  39  35  31  30  28  29
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   10  12  14  14  14  14  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.13  12  13  15  18  21  22  22  22  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.7 2.9 3.9 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.2
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  10  15  16  17  18  18  20  18  17  16  15
LVORI...........4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............11  11  34  60  81  98  107 122 122 117 111 103
Haines index....3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    south 5 to 8 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 14 mph shifting to the south 5
                    to 10 mph late in the evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE.............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........4         3         8         19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............49        39        34        32
RH..............31        48        58        68
20 FT wind......NW 10G16  NW 3G5    SW 3G6    S 7G12
Mix hgt (ft)....5800      300       300       300
Transport wind..NW 14     NW 6      S 6       S 9
LVORI...........2         2         3         3
ADI.............6         3         3         4
Haines index....4         4         4         3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 8 to 18 mph increasing to 18 to 21
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph increasing to 23 to 28
                    mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................12 early in the morning increasing to 107 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........36           55           66
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0            0            0
LAL.............1            1            1
Temp............34           48           57
RH..............66           46           40
20 FT wind......S 9G13       S 15G20      S 18G26
Mix hgt (ft)....500          3300         5500
Transport wind..SW 12        SW 21        SW 26
LVORI...........3            1            1
ADI.............12           69           85
Haines index....3            3            4

$$
Forecaster...Gaines
Requested by...Phil Kasper
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411646.0/BGM
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pkasper@pa.gov
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