Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
286
FNUS52 KILM 070846
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.DISCUSSION...
The area will remain between an inland trough and Atlantic high
pressure into Thursday with unseasonably warm and humid
conditions expected. Scattered convection across the area this
morning will lift NE of the region by midday. Limited convection
expected Wed however by late in the week, a cold front
accompanied by strong convection will move through late in the
work week. High pressure will follow bringing drier and cooler
conditions into the upcoming weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-080100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 30
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 3 2 3
Max/Min Temp 88 68 92
Min/Max RH (%) 58 96 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 8 G18 SW 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G19 SW 7 G17 SW 10 G19
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Good
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 86400 123200
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 34 Fair 75 Good
ADI Late 69 Good 11 Poor 94 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-080100-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 40
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 89 69 92
Min/Max RH (%) 53 97 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 SW 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 SW 6 SW 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 5400
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95400 118800
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 36 Fair 67 Good
ADI Late 104 Very Good10 Poor 93 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-080100-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 40
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 69 92
Min/Max RH (%) 51 95 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 SW 7 SW 8
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 10 G17 SW 7 SW 11 G20
Precip Amount 0.13 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 2 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5600
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93600 123200
ADI Early 39 Fair 46 Gen Good 61 Good
ADI Late 89 Good 11 Poor 94 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-080100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 20
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 89 69 91
Min/Max RH (%) 55 96 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 7 G18 SW 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G19 SW 7 SW 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Good
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5900
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 86400 123900
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 40 Fair 65 Good
ADI Late 84 Good 11 Poor 102 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-080100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 20
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 1 3
Max/Min Temp 88 68 91
Min/Max RH (%) 53 95 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 SW 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 SW 6 SW 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5500
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91800 115500
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 58 Gen Good 65 Good
ADI Late 97 Good 10 Poor 123 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-080100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
446 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 40
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 69 91
Min/Max RH (%) 52 95 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 7 SW 8
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 SW 7 SW 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.12 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 2 PM
Precip End 2 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 5500
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98600 115500
ADI Early 40 Fair 44 Gen Good 63 Good
ADI Late 90 Good 10 Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch