Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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FGUS71 KILN 151932
ESFILN
INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-221945-

Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
232 PM EST Thu Feb 15 2024

...BELOW NORMAL FLOOD RISK FOR THE REGION THROUGH FEBRUARY 29...

Normal flood potential means at least some flooding is possible.
Above normal flood potential means more widespread flooding is
possible with some points possibly reaching moderate or major flood
levels.

This is a biweekly flood outlook issued by local NWS offices in
winter and early spring to summarize basin conditions and to assess
the potential for flooding. The outlooks are based on current and
forecast hydrometeorological conditions.

The factors considered when determining flood potential include
current streamflow and reservoir levels compared to normal for the
period, water equivalent in any snow pack, soil moisture and
expected precipitation.

...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
Snow melt is not expected to significantly contribute to river rises
as there is no significant snow cover in the region.

...STREAMFLOW...
Streamflow is near normal to below normal throughout the region.

...ICE...
There is no ice on area rivers.

...SOIL MOISTURE...
Soil moisture is below average across the region.

...RESERVOIR CAPACITY...
Reservoirs have ample storage available for flood management, if
necessary.

...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION...
Light snow is possible on Friday evening (February 16). Snowfall is
likely to be light with no significant impacts to streamflow. A
second weather system is possible toward Thursday (February 22) and
Friday (February 23). This second system may result in some rises in
area streams and waterways. Overall, the synoptic conditions over
the next two weeks favor above average temperatures and a slight
chance for above average precipitation. Antecedent dry conditions
across the region should help to mitigate flood risk over the next
two weeks.

Real time river information and forecasts for specific locations
along rivers across Central and Southern Ohio, Northern Kentucky,
and Southeast Indiana can be found at
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=iln.

$$

Campbell


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