Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46

FXUS63 KLBF 142356

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
656 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

Issued at 656 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

Radar, cameras and sfc observations suggest blizzard conditions
are still underway in some areas of north central Nebraska. The
blizzard warning has been extended until 10 pm CDT across Custer,
Boyd, Holt, Wheeler and Garfield Counties.

A blend of the rapid refresh models and the previous forecast
suggest lows in the teens and single digits Sunday morning. A new
temperature forecast is in place.

The model consensus indicates an area of fog will form across the
Sandhills tonight. The new forecast includes areas of fog across
the Sandhills, generally west of highway 83.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 317 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

Precipitation is slowly coming to an end across north central
Nebraska. Low pressure is well east of the region, however, effects
from the storm are still being felt across the region. Little to no
additional accumulations are expected. Strong north winds will still
be seen through the early evening which will continue to create
blowing snow. Area roadways could still become snow covered and
slippery through the evening with brief reductions in visibilities.
Recent snowpack will keep overnight temperatures in the upper 20s to
low 30s.

For Sunday, winds will be significantly lower as upper level ridging
builds across the west central US. Northerly winds will remain near
5 to 10 mph with gusts to near 15 to 20 mph. Stronger wind gusts
will be located east of a line from Broken Bow to Springview where
up to 25 mph gusts could be seen. Surface high pressure will allow
skies to clear and dry weather to return for the end of the weekend.
Again, recent snowpack will limit temperatures for Sunday. Highs
will only be the the 30s with slightly lower temperatures in the
upper 20s across the Valentine to Ainsworth area.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 317 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

00Z Monday and beyond.  Transitory ridge of high pressure will build
across the northern and central Plains on Monday, though high
temperatures will remain below average due to weak high pressure to
the east.  The ridge breaks down to the east as an active pattern
develops to our west. Temperatures warm to near seasonal highs on
Tuesday but a cold front Tuesday evening will cool temperatures back
below normal for mid-week.  The fast moving wave will promote light
precipitation chances across our north on Wednesday, though QPF
amounts will be light due to little available moisture.

Our attention then turns to the approach of the next long wave
trough that is poised to impact the region late week.  This system
bears watching as the models are suggesting another closed low that
takes a slight negative tilt and pumps plentiful moisture across the
state.  Temperatures aloft are noticeably warmer, but still cool
enough for some snow.  Gusty winds accompany this system.  Will
monitor closely.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

MVFR/IFR cigs and vsby across ncntl Neb should gradually improve
to VFR/MVFR cigs from west to east overnight and during the day

Areas of IFR/LIFR in fog are expected to develop across the
Sandhills 06z tonight through 15z Sunday. VFR is expected after
15z Sunday.


Blizzard Warning until 10 PM CDT this evening for NEZ007-010-028-



LONG TERM...Jacobs
AVIATION...CDC is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.