Text Products for FWS Issued by LWX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA
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FNUS71 KLWX 240932
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for Klondike Fire...Maryland DNR Forest Service
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
532 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front crosses the area this morning, bringing scattered
showers. Winds quickly turn northwest behind the front this
afternoon, with gusts of 20-25mph across most of the area. This is
going to result in excellent smoke dispersion today. Min RH values
around 30-35pct.

High pressure builds in behind the front, bringing some cooler
temperatures Thursday and Friday. Winds become northeast to east
Thursday, then southeast on Friday. Dry conditions expected as min
RH values drop to 35-40pct Thursday, then for Friday the lowest RH
of 30-35pct will be east of the Blue Ridge, with 35-45pct west of
the Blue Ridge. Smoke dispersion varies, though is forecast to be
poor to fair over most of the area Thursday, then become good on
Friday.

Temperatures warm once again into the weekend, with well above
normal temperatures likely into the start of next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers early in the morning, then isolated
                    rain showers late in the morning. Isolated rain
                    showers early in the afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 30 percent early in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 20 percent late
                    in the morning decreasing to 10 percent late in
                    the morning increasing to 20 percent decreasing
                    to 10 percent late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 14 to 16 mph.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 24 mph shifting to the northwest 22
                    to 29 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (108100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (101400
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76  73  61  59  56  54  55  56  57  57  57  57
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCT ISO         ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW          RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............40  30  30  30  20  10  10  20  20  20  10  10
Temp............47  47  48  50  51  52  53  54  57  57  57  58
RH..............93  96  93  83  80  74  69  64  55  55  53  51
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..15  14  14  14  14  14  15  15  16  16  16  15
20 FT wind gust.21  21  22  22  22  22  23  24  24  24  23  22
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.9   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  9
Eye lvl wnd gst.13  13  13  13  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  13
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.15  20  24  26  29  29  28  26  24  23  23  22
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  20  37  59  87  108 120 127 121 117 114 101
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    north up to 4 mph after 3 am.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 13 mph.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph shifting to the north 8
                    to 10 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (85900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to fair (13000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........57     57     57     57     58     65
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............57     53     47     44     42     40
RH..............53     61     76     82     86     89
20 ft wind......NW 14  NW 12  NW 10  N 9    N 8    N 6
20 ft wind gust.21     17     16     14     13     9
Eye level wind..NW 8   NW 7   NW 6   N 5    N 5    N 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.13     10     10     8      8      5
Transport wind..NW 21  NW 20  NW 17  NW 15  N 12   N 9
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..86     56     29     20     19     15
Ventrate Cat....GOOD   FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds up to 4 mph shifting to the
                    east in the late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Transport winds.....Northeast 1 to 7 mph shifting to the north
                    around 1 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........60     44     41     36     29     31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............39     40     42     47     52     55
RH..............82     70     73     56     48     43
20 ft wind......NE 5   E 6    E 5    E 5    E 6    E 6
20 ft wind gust.8      8      8      8      9      8
Eye level wind..NE 3   E 4    E 3    E 3    E 4    E 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5      5      5      5      5      5
Transport wind..N 7    NE 3   N 1    NW 1   NW 2   N 1
Haines index....4      4      5      5      5      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12     7      2      3      8      5
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...Witt
Requested by...Shannon Wolfe
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412137.0/LWX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shannon.wolfe@maryland.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
