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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

000
FNUS74 KLZK 141957
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Shiloh...Nps
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
257 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on April 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Mainly dry weather will continue through most of Monday, with
southerly winds ushering in more moist air across the state the
next couple days. Rain chances return to the forecast later
Monday night through Tuesday as a storm system moves through the
region.

.REST OF TODAY...

Max temperature.....79 at forecast start...Max 80.
Min humidity........47 percent at forecast start...Min 45 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 21 mph.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........46.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at forecast start...max 6.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5157 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............79  80
RH..............47  45
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10
20 FT wind gust.18  17
Transp wind dir.SW  SW
Transp wind spd.21  20
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 61.
Max humidity........Max 97 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 20 mph.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............4.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Dispersion..........43 decreasing to 11 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4626 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............78  76  70  69  67  67  66  64  64  64  62  62
RH..............50  52  66  70  75  75  78  84  84  87  90  93
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  7   7   7   7   8   7   7   7   6   5   6
20 FT wind gust.16  14  14  13  14  14  13  13  12  11  10  8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.20  18  17  17  16  16  15  15  14  14  13  12
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.MONDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 77.
Min humidity........Min 56 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............4 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Dispersion..........9 increasing to 42.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5180 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  61  63  64  68  70  73  75  76  76  77  75
RH..............90  97  90  90  78  73  66  60  58  58  56  60
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.8   8   7   10  11  11  12  12  14  14  16  17
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  10  9   9   9   12  14  16  18  20  20  20
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...C Rickard
Requested by...Fenn Wimberly
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2410749.0/LZK
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Fenn_Wimberly@nps.gov