Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 282330
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
730 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

The influence of high pressure remains over South Florida as we
enter the work week with surface high pressure remaining situated in
the Western Atlantic. This surface high will slowly weaken as low
pressure over the central United States dissolves and the
combination of that with a weakening surface high will allow windy
conditions to slowly subside. Conditions will remain gusty
today into tonight and breezy into Monday as well.

Other than that, mostly dry weather will continue with isolated
Atlantic showers that could overspread the peninsula during peak
heating with assistance from sea breezes that could develop in the
afternoons. Temperatures will be mostly in the low to mid 80s on
Monday, though portions of Southwest Florida could see temperatures
rise into the upper 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 203 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Long term begins with mid level ridging over the eastern seaboard
gradually migrating into the western Atlantic, while persisting sfc
high pressure keeping a relatively stable air mass over Soflo
through at least the middle of the work week. As the mid level ridge
moves further away from the region, pressure gradients across the
area will relax and allow for the breezy periods to subside.
Meanwhile, low-lvl winds across SoFlo gradually veer SE by this
time, allowing for a very modest moisture advection to briefly raise
chances of rain into the teens to low 20s, mainly over the east
coast and interior areas. But showers in general will remain very
limited through the long term as relatively dry/stable air stays in
place.

Afternoon high temperatures through Wednesday are expected to reach
the low-mid 80s near the coasts, and upper 80s to around 90 inland.
Then by the end of the work week, the mid level ridge strengthens
and drives high temperatures into the upper 80s near the coasts and
low 90s inland.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 729 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Breezy to gusty easterly flow continues throughout the TAF period.
VCSH possible at east coast terminals overnight with the potential
of MVFR cigs if shower activity directly moves over a terminal.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Hazardous marine conditions will begin to subside this evening into
Monday. Calmer conditions should return by the middle of this
week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

A high risk for rip currents continues along the Atlantic coast as
gusty onshore winds remain in place on Sunday and into Monday. These
gusty winds will continue to assist in the potential formation of
larger waves in the surf zone up to 7-8 ft, but this risk should
lessen by Sunday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            72  81  72  83 /  20  20  20  40
West Kendall     68  83  69  85 /  20  10  20  30
Opa-Locka        70  83  71  85 /  20  20  20  30
Homestead        71  82  71  84 /  20  20  20  30
Fort Lauderdale  72  81  73  82 /  20  20  20  40
N Ft Lauderdale  72  81  72  82 /  20  20  20  40
Pembroke Pines   70  83  71  86 /  20  20  20  30
West Palm Beach  69  81  69  82 /  20  20  20  30
Boca Raton       71  82  71  83 /  20  20  30  40
Naples           67  86  68  86 /  10  10  20  30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

     High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ168-172.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Monday for AMZ630.

     Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for AMZ650-651-670-
     671.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RAG
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...Hadi