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000
FXUS64 KMOB 131735
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1235 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Some light, patchy fog remains possible late tonight into early
Sunday morning for areas generally north of I-10 and south of the
Highway 84 corridor. Outside of any fog, VFR conditions prevail. Light
and variable winds return overnight with southerly to
southwesterly winds expected on Sunday. /14



&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Sunday)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

A dry northwesterly flow pattern aloft will prevail across the
region through Sunday, keeping our area rain-free and under mostly
clear skies. Warm days and relatively cool temperatures tonight
will occur as surface high pressure builds eastward across the
Gulf Coast. A LOW risk of rip currents will continue through the
period. /22

SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 356 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Generally quiet weather prevails during the short and long term
from Sunday night through Friday. Upper ridging dominates the
forecast through Tuesday night before we shift to more westerly
flow aloft as a trough passes north of the region Wednesday.
Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night will have a broad, weak
shortwave push across the area potentially aiding in the
development of a light rain shower or thunderstorm over interior
portions of southeastern MS into interior southwestern AL. Another
shortwave will transit the area Friday embedded within the
subtropical jet which could yield a shower or thunderstorm once
again over interior portions of southeastern MS into interior
southwestern/south-central AL.

The bigger story for the period will be a notable warming trend,
with the warmest temperatures of the Spring season so far likely
affecting much of the forecast area. High temperatures each day
will likely rise into the lower to middle 80`s, with Thursday
being the hottest with spots seeing middle to perhaps even upper
80`s. Overnight lows gradually follow suit, going from lower and
middle 50`s Sunday night to lower to middle 60`s for Tuesday and
Wednesday nights. A Moderate risk for rip currents will return
Tuesday followed by a High risk for life threatening rip currents
Wednesday as persistent southerly flow sets up on the immediate
coast. MM/25



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      54  80  56  79  61  80  66  81 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pensacola   57  78  59  77  63  77  66  78 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      60  76  62  76  64  77  67  77 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   50  83  51  84  56  83  60  83 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Waynesboro  51  82  53  83  58  83  64  83 /   0   0   0   0   0   0  10  20
Camden      52  82  51  82  56  83  61  81 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  20
Crestview   50  83  51  82  55  82  60  82 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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