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000
FXUS62 KMFL 180627
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
227 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 224 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

High pressure remains at both the surface and aloft to
close out the work week. With the high shifting eastward, an
easterly to southeasterly wind flow pattern will provide for
increasing tropical moisture and warmer air advecting into the
region. Warm temperatures will remain with lower to mid 90s inland
and mid to upper 80s along the sea-breeze-cooled coast by Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 224 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Heading into the weekend, the mid-level high begins
to break down as a southern stream trough emerges across the
northern Gulf of Mexico Saturday into Sunday. While the trough
axis will not extend all the way south into southern Florida, it
will pinch the high aloft southward a bit. A reinforcing trough
emerges Monday into Tuesday which will push the high aloft into
the Caribbean.

As the trough enters the Atlantic off the Carolinas,
a surface low may develop and push the surface boundary southward
into the peninsula of Florida with the potential for convection.
Rain chances will be highest over northeastern portions of the
forecast area, mainly around the Palm Beaches, but will still be
relatively modest. To close out the extended period, the surface
boundary could pass south into the Florida Straits allowing for a
period of northerly wind flow to return with some drier and
slightly cooler air. Still some uncertainty that the boundary will
be able to clear through but the possibility remains high enough
to mention.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 224 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Generally VFR through the period with easterly to southeasterly
winds 5-10 kts at all sites. A Gulf Breeze could develop at KAPF
this afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 224 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

The wind will lessen and become southeasterly starting
on Thursday as the surface high shifts eastward. Seas will
generally remain 2 feet or less.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 224 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

A moderate rip current threat will linger along the Atlantic
beaches today with a diminishing trend to close out the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            83  71  85  71 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     85  67  87  67 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        85  69  87  70 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        83  69  85  69 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  82  70  83  70 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  82  70  85  70 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   85  70  88  70 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  83  67  86  68 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       83  69  86  69 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           85  69  85  69 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RAG
LONG TERM....RAG
AVIATION...ATV