Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 211948
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
348 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

...Very dry afternoon conditions expected through Monday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure centered across the area will continue
to result in dry conditions and light winds through Monday.
Relatively humidity values both Sunday and Monday afternoon will
drop below critical levels as moisture mixes out and temperatures
increase to near or slightly above normal levels. Decent rh
recovery expected during the overnight hours as temperatures
quickly cool. Next chance for a bit of light rain arrives later
Tuesday.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-221100-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
348 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28...except around 30 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent...except 34-39 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (270).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....31-36.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent...except 38-43 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (350).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-221100-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
348 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the west after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent...except 41-46 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (260).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 0 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 3 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....28-33...except 35-40 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (410).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-221100-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
348 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30...except 32-37 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........17-22 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (330).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 41-46 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........17-22 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (350).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-221100-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
348 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 6 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the east after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........17-22 percent...except 27-32 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 6 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (390).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent...except 30-35 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (430).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-221100-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
348 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (420).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (510).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MB



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