Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
186
FNUS54 KMAF 051855
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
155 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20-FT WINDS
OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS, SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS, GUADALUPE AND
DAVIS MOUNTAINS, DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS, CULBERSON COUNTY, AND
THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20-FT WINDS
OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS, SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS, GUADALUPE AND
DAVIS MOUNTAINS, DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS, CULBERSON COUNTY, AND
THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...
.DISCUSSION...
Critically dry fuels remain over the western portions of the
region. Critical relative humidity continues each day west of the
dryline and the dryline is pushed east of the entire region on
Monday. Localized elevated to near critical conditions may develop
across portions of southeast New Mexico this afternoon. Wind
speeds increase on Monday resulting in widespread critical fire
weather conditions across areas with critically dry fuels. A Red
Flag Warning is in effect for those areas as a result. With
similar conditions expected to Tuesday a Fire Weather Watch has
also been issued. These conditions may persist on Wednesday as
well. Despite widespread critical relative humidity, recent rains
limit eastward extent of fire weather concerns. Thursday sees a
cold front enter the region and this clears the region on Friday
effectively ending fire weather concerns for now.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-061200-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1255 PM MDT Sun May 5 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-1) 80 (0) 44 84
RH % (24h trend) 36 (-57) 7 (-3) 23 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 15 W 20 W 19 W 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 15 W 24 W 9 SW 19
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 4 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 46 61 44 34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8190 8690
Transport Wnd (kts) W 35 W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 286650 286770
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 6 7 7
RFTI Category Critical Critical Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around
20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-061200-
Chaves Plains-
1255 PM MDT Sun May 5 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-2) 86 (+3) 45 90
RH % (24h trend) 92 (-4) 8 (-13) 27 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 19 SW 11 W 15 W 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 19 W 18 NW 7 SW 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 42 41 40 26
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10510 10980
Transport Wnd (kts) W 28 W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 294280 285480
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 6 7 5
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds
around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
NMZ118-061200-
Eddy Plains-
1255 PM MDT Sun May 5 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-1) 89 (+5) 50 91
RH % (24h trend) 86 (-7) 9 (-14) 25 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 16 SW 13 W 18 SW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 14 W 23 W 9 SW 19
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 4 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 35 51 39 33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9660 9280
Transport Wnd (kts) W 30 SW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 289800 278400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 6 7 8
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at
or below 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-061200-
Lea-
1255 PM MDT Sun May 5 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (+1) 88 (+8) 46 89
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+2) 8 (-30) 27 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 16 SW 12 W 15 W 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 16 W 20 NW 9 SW 16
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 4 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 34 44 37 27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10050 9520
Transport Wnd (kts) W 27 SW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 271350 276080
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 6 5 7
RFTI Category Nil Critical Critical Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-061200-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
155 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024 /1255 PM MDT Sun May 5 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (-3) 79 (+1) 51 83
RH % (24h trend) 44 (-47) 10 (0) 20 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 13 W 30 W 29 W 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 16 W 33 W 18 W 27
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 3 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 34 58 41 35
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6360 7790
Transport Wnd (kts) W 39 W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 248040 257070
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 6 7 6
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Windy, clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ275-276-279>282-061200-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Central Brewster County-
Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Marfa, Big Bend National Park,
Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas,
and Castolon
155 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-5) 95 (+9) 55 97
RH % (24h trend) 94 (+8) 4 (-19) 28 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 10 NW 7 W 10 NW 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8 W 14 NW 8 SW 12
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 30 33 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9080 9920
Transport Wnd (kts) W 24 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 217920 198400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 5 5 3
RFTI Category Nil Critical Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-277-278-061200-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Fort Davis, and Alpine
155 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-3) 86 (+4) 53 90
RH % (24h trend) 77 (-14) 7 (-10) 25 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 11 W 14 W 16 W 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 10 W 22 W 10 W 17
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 32 49 39 30
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7810 9210
Transport Wnd (kts) W 32 W 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 249920 248670
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 7 7 6
RFTI Category Elevated Extreme Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around
80. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-075-082-061200-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Kermit, Odessa, Midland,
Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, and Sanderson
155 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+2) 92 (+14) 53 94
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+2) 8 (-51) 54 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 10 SW 11 W 11 NW 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 13 W 16 W 7 SW 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 35 39 26
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9440 8920
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 28 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 264320 214080
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 4 3 3
RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ059-274-061200-
Loving-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Mentone and Pecos
155 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-2) 91 (+8) 57 95
RH % (24h trend) 82 (-7) 8 (-28) 24 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 12 SW 10 W 14 W 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 10 W 21 W 8 W 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 26 40 39 27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9010 10500
Transport Wnd (kts) W 29 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 261290 262500
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 7 6 4
RFTI Category Nil Extreme Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity
at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
$$