Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 260919
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Buzzard Wildfire...NPS Big Cypress
National Weather Service Miami FL
519 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will continue over the fire today.
RH values will drop to 35 to 40 percent for several hours through
the mid afternoon, before the Gulf coast seabreeze is expected to
reach the fire, increasing RH values late in the afternoon through
early evening. Winds will remain out of the west through most of
the day, becoming more southwest as the seabreeze arrives.
Increasing mixing heights will bring very good dispersions this
afternoon. Winds are expected to become nearly calm overnight,
setting up the potential for a light northerly drainage flow to
occur.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL...increasing to 4900-5200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 1 to 8 mph...increasing to 13 to 16 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....2...increasing to 11,...then increasing to 69
                    early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   7   10  10  10  13  13  13  16  16  16  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............61  62  62  67  72  76  80  83  87  88  88  87
RH..............91  94  97  84  73  64  54  45  38  36  35  36
20 ft wind dir..W   NW  N   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 ft wind dir..280 330 350 330 290 270 270 250 250 250 240 240
20 ft wind spd..1   0   1   1   2   3   5   5   6   7   8   8
20 ft wind gust.    1       2   4   5   6   6   7   8   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.8 4.5 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  N   NW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.1   1   1   2   3   6   8   10  13  14  16  16
Dispersion idx..0   0   1   4   11  22  37  54  69  59  64  67
LVORI...........9   7   7   4   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......2100-3500 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-700 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 17 mph...becoming northwest 1 to 5
                    mph around midnight.
Dispersion index....59...decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........12  12  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............85  83  78  76  73  71  69  68  68  67  65  65
RH..............40  43  52  58  66  73  76  78  76  78  84  84
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
20 ft wind dir..240 240 240 260 290 300 320 350 000 000 000 000
20 ft wind spd..8   7   6   3   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 ft wind gust.10  10  7   5       1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  16  15  10  5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Dispersion idx..59  46  6   4   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LVORI...........1   1   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   6   6
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph
                    early.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1300 ft AGL...increasing to 5100-5900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Light winds...becoming southwest 3 to 12
                    mph late in the morning,...then increasing to
                    around 13 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3...increasing to 53.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........17     22     22     33     44     44
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............64     66     80     86     89     90
RH..............90     90     58     46     39     38
20 ft wind dir..N      N      W      W      W      W
20 ft wind dir..000    000    250    250    250    250
20 ft wind spd..0      0      3      7      10     10
20 ft wind gust.1      1      4      8      13     13
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    2400   4300   5900   5800
TRANSPORT WIND..N 0    N 0    SW 7   SW 12  SW 13  W 13
Dispersion idx..0      0      20     57     53     53
LVORI...........7      7      2      1      1      1
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Moses
Requested by...Ody Anderson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1806261.18/MFL



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