Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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000
FNUS71 KRNK 200212
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Hopkins RX...Monogahela NF
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1012 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
No precipitation is expected Friday under mostly sunny skies. Northwest winds may gust to 15-20 MPH
during the afternoon. Otherwise, good burning conditions and good mixing is forecast.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 20 to 28 mph shifting to the northwest 17
                    to 18 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................19 increasing to 61 early in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 46 early in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  13  8   5   4   3   3   3   3   2   1   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............29  29  31  32  35  39  40  42  44  45  46  47
RH..............71  65  58  64  52  44  41  39  38  35  33  33
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.11  11  12  14  14  14  14  14  16  16  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..28  28  25  24  21  20  18  17  17  17  17  18
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............19  61  49  47  45  43  42  42  43  43  44  45
Haines index....3   3   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 9 mph with gusts to around 16
                    mph in the evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Mixing winds........North 13 to 21 mph decreasing to 1 to 7 mph
                    after midnight.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................44 decreasing to 2.
Haines Index........3 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........0      0      0      0      1      0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............46     42     39     37     35     34
RH..............34     40     47     55     61     64
20 ft wind......NW 9   NW 7   NW 6   N 5    NW 4   N 3
20 ft wind gust.16     10     7      6      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2800   2000   1600   1000   400    300
Mixing wind......NW 20  NW 21  N 20   N 13   NW 3   N 2
LVORI...........1      2      2      3      3      3
ADI.............44     14     9      6      1      1
Haines index....3      4      4      4      5      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 2 to 3 mph shifting to the west 3 to 6
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 increasing to 26.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........2      9      8      14     32     35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............32     35     42     47     51     53
RH..............66     57     41     32     28     26
20 ft wind......N 3    N 3    NW 3   W 3    W 3    W 4
20 ft wind gust.4             4      5      5      6
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    1700   2800   3700   4700
Mixing wind......N 2    N 2    W 3    W 5    W 5    W 6
LVORI...........3      2      2      2      2      2
ADI.............1      2      9      16     16     23
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Hysell
Requested by...Terry Walter
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807088.0/RNK
.DELDT 04/20/18



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