Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS02 KWNS 150621
SWODY2
SPC AC 150620

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 AM CST Fri Nov 15 2019

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few weak thunderstorms are possible over eastern North Carolina on
Saturday. Otherwise, stable conditions will prevail over the Lower
48.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
A shortwave trough will move off the coastal Southeast with a
surface low deepening off the NC/SC coast. As moisture wraps around
the low, elevated instability will develop, with a few thunderstorms
possible across parts of eastern NC. The surface air mass over the
region should remain too cool for any surface-based severe threat,
with the strongest storms well offshore.

Elsewhere, high pressure will maintain dry and stable conditions
over the remainder of the CONUS.

...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD...
Tornado:  <2%     - None
Wind:     <5%     - None
Hail:     <5%     - None

..Jewell.. 11/15/2019

$$


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