Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 280912
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 311 RX burn (2)...PGC
National Weather Service State College PA
512 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on March 28.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
The overnight passage of a cold front will bring cooler and drier
weather to the region today. Expect partly sunny skies with
relative humidity dipping to around 30 percent in the afternoon
with fairly light winds. Expect fair and tranquil conditions Thursday
night. Friday will feature sunny skies, gusty winds and relative
humidity dipping to near 30 percent in the afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 51.
Min Humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming northwest
                    5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 8 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................19 to 56.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  63  55  48  43  38  33  40  47  54  52  50  48
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  34  33  33  35  37  40  43  45  47  49  50  50
RH................  78  78  78  69  61  50  43  38  34  31  30  30
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  8   8   7   7   8   8   10  10  10  11  12
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.6 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.7
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  10  9   9   8   9   9   10  12  13  13  15  17
LVORI.............  3   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  19  19  19  22  22  22  37  37  37  56  56  56
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....Around 29.
Max Humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing Height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 to 12.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  39  30  22  15  9   2   4   10  16  14  12  10
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  47  45  41  39  36  34  34  33  32  32  31  31
RH................  32  35  41  44  47  51  51  56  58  61  63  66
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  8   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT Wind Gust...  11  12  12  12  11  8   8   7   7   7   7   7
Mix Hgt (kft).....  5.7 4.2 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  17  18  15  15  13  12  10  10  10  10  10  12
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  12  12  12  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 49.
Min Humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 29 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph increasing to 22 to 28
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................19 early in the morning increasing to 83 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  9   8   7   13  18  24  22  21  20  18  17  15
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  30  31  31  34  37  39  41  44  47  48  48  48
RH................  69  66  66  58  52  48  44  39  35  34  34  33
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   6   7   8   9   10  11  11  11  12  12  11
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   10  12  14  16  18  19  20  21  22  23  22
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.7 0.8 1.2 3.0 3.7 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.9
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  12  13  14  21  22  24  25  25  26  26  28  28
LVORI.............  3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  19  19  19  70  70  70  83  83  83  83  83  83
Haines Index......  4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Fitzgerald
Requested by...Travis Weinzierl
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408689.0/CTP
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL trweinzier@pa.gov


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