Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KDDC 151853
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
153 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...updated aviation section...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 327 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

The upper level low that affected us yesterday will continue to
slide eastward with an upper level ridge building over the
Rockies. This will lead to mostly clear skies through the short
term period. Towards the surface, northerly winds will prevail
today then shift to a southerly direction tonight as the ridge
axis shifts eastward and lee troughing develops across eastern
Colorado. As for temperatures, highs today look to range from the
upper 40s across central Kansas to mid 60s across far southwestern
Kansas. Lows tonight are anticipated to range from around 20
degrees across north central Kansas to upper 30s across far
southwestern Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 327 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

An upper level ridge will move across the Plains Monday night into
Tuesday with the next upper level disturbance moving into the
Rockies behind it. This system will move into the Northern Plains
Tuesday night into Wednesday and help push a cold front at the
surface across western Kansas. No precipitation is expected with
this system with only a slight increase in cloudiness. Tranquil
weather returns Thursday with the next system moving into the
western United States. This system will move into the Rockies
Friday, then into the Plains Saturday. Low to mid level moisture
will increase across the area as this system approaches leading to
increased cloudiness. This system looks to bring a good chance of
precipitation to western Kansas at this time. Future model runs
will see if this will come to fruition. As for temperatures, highs
Monday look to range from the lower 60s across central Kansas to
low 80s across far southwestern Kansas. We then reach into the
upper 70s to upper 80s Tuesday before settling back into the 60s
to lower 70s Wednesday and Thursday. A cool down is then
anticipated Friday into the weekend as the aforementioned system
moves through the area. Lows will generally be in the 30s and 40s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 150 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

VFR flight category is expected through this TAF period given a
quite dry airmass lingering over weestern Kansas. Gusty northwest
winds to around 30 knots should rapidly decouple from the surface
around 00 UTC and winds will become light overngiht. Mixing by
mid monring will resume the gustiness with a wind shift out of the
southeast.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 328 AM CDT Sat Apr 15 2018

Fire weather danger will continue to be the main hazard this week
with RHs dipping into the teens and 20s Today through Thursday.
The worst day looks to be Tuesday with most of the areas relative
humidity dropping into the teens with strong westerly winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  56  26  68  42 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  59  27  71  40 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  67  35  83  48 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  64  32  80  44 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  45  21  60  37 /   0   0   0   0
P28  54  26  64  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ044-045-063-
064-077>080-087>090.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Russell
FIRE WEATHER...Hovorka_42



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.