Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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680
FXUS63 KDDC 180833
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
333 AM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...Updated short, long, and fire weather sections...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

Strong northwesterly winds will continue today as the system that
affected the area yesterday moves into the Upper Mississippi
Valley. Wind gusts around 40 mph will be possible during the
morning and early afternoon hours. An upper level ridge will build
over the Rockies today with little to no moisture for clouds to
form above western Kansas. Winds decrease rapidly this evening and
shift to more of a southerly direction overnight as the ridge axis
of the area of high pressure slides through the area. As for
temperatures, highs today look to reach into the 60s with lows
tonight dipping into the low to mid 30s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

Dry conditions continue Thursday with mostly clear skies. Winds
will generally be out of the south to southeast as troughing
across eastern Colorado intensifies. Meanwhile, an upper level low
will move into the Rockies Thursday night and move just to the
south of the area Friday into Saturday. Cloud cover increases
Thursday night as this system approaches with mostly cloudy skies
expected Friday through Saturday night. Precipitation chances
will increase across far western Kansas Friday morning, spreading
eastward and increasing in likely hood Friday night. A good chance
of precipitation is expected across the forecast area Friday
night through Saturday as the system moves eastward. This system
then exits the area Saturday night with decreasing precipitation
chances from north to south. Models continue to show areas of 1
inch plus across portions of western Kansas. However, the trends
continue to decrease during each model run and will need to be
watched over the next couple of days to fine tune amounts. Dry
conditions return Sunday and Monday as an upper level ridge builds
across the western United states and high pressure returns as the
dominate feature at the surface. As for temperatures, highs
Thursday look to be in the 60s with upper 50s and lower 60s
Friday. Highs are then anticipated to only reach into the lower
50s Saturday then back into the 60s Sunday through Tuesday. Lows
will generally range from the mid 30s to lower 40s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1143 PM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

VFR conditions will prevail with mostly clear skies. Strong
northwesterly winds will continue overnight initially gusting to
40+ knots then decreasing to around 30 knots around 4AM.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 202 PM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

RHs this afternoon look to dip into the teens again. However, the
place where the RHs are low will also be where the winds do not
meet red flag criteria. Nevertheless, fire weather conditions will
be high across much of southwest Kansas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  66  32  64  40 /   0   0   0  10
GCK  64  31  65  40 /   0   0   0  10
EHA  65  36  68  42 /   0   0   0  10
LBL  67  34  67  42 /   0   0   0  10
HYS  62  31  60  37 /   0   0   0  10
P28  69  35  65  39 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42
FIRE WEATHER...Hovorka_42



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