Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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407
FXUS63 KGLD 240955
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
355 AM MDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 345 AM MDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Today-tonight...for this morning am expecting likely to
categorical pops across much of the area before rapidly decreasing
from west to east as drier air aloft moves in from the west by mid
afternoon. This will be fairly brief as precipitation chances
increase as another wave moves out of Colorado and into much of
the area late this afternoon through this evening. After midnight
precipitation chances slowly decrease from west to east as drier
air aloft moves underneath an upper level low centered over south
central Nebraska/northwest Kansas. North to northwest winds will
be in the breezy to windy category with high temperatures in the
mid 40s to mid 50s. For the eastern parts of the area the high
will be in the morning before the cold front and cooler air moves
in.

Wednesday-Wednesday night...could see some wraparound showers in the
morning across the far eastern forecast area before exiting to the
east and southeast as the upper low moves away from the area. 850mb
and bias corrected grids point to highs in the mid 50s to low 60s.
Focus then shifts to the arrival of another upper trough and cold
front which look to bring increasing winds to Yuma county toward
sunrise. Low temperatures in the low to upper 30s.

Thursday-Thursday night...main weather story will be the wind. Upper
trough and cold front move through during the day with north winds
gusting 35 to 45 mph, possibly a bit higher. High temperatures
generally in the upper 50s to low 60s. Winds decrease rapidly during
the night with low temperatures in the low to mid 30s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 341 AM MDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Warm conditions will continue to persist in the long term forecast
period. Highs will start in the upper 60s on Friday and sit in the
mid to upper 70s through Monday due to high pressure sitting over
the area.

There are a couple of wind surges expected for the Tri-State area.
Expecting the overall pattern to start shifting in the early
weekend, with a disturbance moving through the area sometime
Sunday into Monday. Guidance is still disagreeing with the
expected impacts and timing, but it appears to be trending more
favorably to some strong with potentially severe thunderstorm
activity Monday through Tuesday evening.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 350 AM MDT Tue Apr 24 2018

KGLD, sub vfr conditions expected from taf issuance through about
01z. Light to moderate rain expected from taf issuance through
about 17z. After 02z vfr conditions expected to return. Winds
generally from the north gusting near 30kts through 01z before
falling below 12kts from the northwest through 12z.

KMCK, sub vfr conditions expected through the period. Light to
moderate rain expected from taf issuance through about 18z. Winds
from the north gusting near 30kts through 02z before falling below
12kts from the northwest from 03z through 12z.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...EV
AVIATION...99



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