Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
496
FNUS53 KGRR 010745
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
345 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
...Rain chances this morning then late Thursday into Friday...
.DISCUSSION...
A weak system moving through the area this morning will bring
some light rain showers through daybreak before they move out. Rain
amounts will be under a tenth of an inch for most locations.
Dry weather moves in by this afternoon and continues into Thursday
before rain chances increase Thursday afternoon and Friday.
MIZ037>039-043>045-012015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
345 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....60-65 near Lake Michigan and around 68 Inland.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 7
degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........50-55 percent near Lake Michigan and 39-44
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 26
mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3900-4400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1330-1510 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 7 mph shifting to the north
around 5 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 100-600 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600
ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-430 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and unchanged
inland.
Min humidity........50-55 percent near Lake Michigan and 42-47
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 3 percent wetter
inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-420 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-012015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
345 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 13 mph shifting to the
west around 17 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up
to 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to west
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1470-1650 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-420 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 67.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-380 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-012015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
345 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 11 AM, then
mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent near Lake Michigan and 33-38
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 7
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 26
mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3700-4200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1220 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....44-49.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1000-1500
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the north
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....40-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent near Lake Michigan and 33-38
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier near Lake Michigan and unchanged
Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
2800-3300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....290-580 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-012015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
345 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1480-1610 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-350 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......1 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....170-460 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-012015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
345 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 5 PM, then
sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....73-78.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1410-1560 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 7 mph shifting to the north
around 5 mph overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
24 hr trend......1 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....240-530 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds
8 to 13 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 9 to 14 mph
shifting to the west 8 to 13 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the lower 50s. North winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 7 to
12 mph shifting to the southeast 8 to 13 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50. Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s.
$$