Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 240731
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
231 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 228 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Latest satellite water vapor imagery continues to show a very
healthy weather system moving southeast across Idaho/Montana/Wyoming
early this morning, with a second upper level wave just off the
coast of British Columbia which will affect the region Thursday
night. The first wave has already generated rain showers over far
northwest Kansas early this morning, and this activity will spread
southeast and reach central Kansas just before noon today. The
activity will become more widespread for late this afternoon and
tonight. We could also see some embedded thunder at times but
poor lapse rates/limited elevated instability suggests bulk of the
activity being rain showers. The rain will linger over the region
into Wednesday along with cooler daytime temperatures, as the
upper level system deepens and moves slowly southeast of Kansas by
Wednesday night. Meanwhile the second upper level wave off the
coast line of British Columbia will follow a similar track of the
first system, and bring another chance of rain to the region
Thursday night.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 228 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

High confidence for much warmer temperatures and increasing south
winds to return for the weekend into early next week, as upper level
ridging/southwest flow builds across the central plains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1144 PM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018

This forecast period will begin with VFR flight conditions at all
sites with either calm or very light winds. However, as a cold
front approaches from the northwest, expect ceilings to begin
lowering as cloud cover gradually increases Tuesday morning.
Rain showers are forecast to begin at central Kansas sites (KRSL,
KGBD, and KSLN) by noon or early afternoon as they gradually make
their way east. MVFR ceilings are likely a most sites (with the
exception of KICT and KCNU) by late Tuesday. Following the
frontal passage, east/northeast winds will flip to a more
northwesterly direction and become more breezy during the day.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 228 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Fire weather concerns will remain low across the region for the next
several days due to more expected rainfall and lighter wind speeds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    73  45  57  43 /  20  80  40  10
Hutchinson      70  42  55  40 /  30  80  40  10
Newton          72  43  55  41 /  20  80  40  10
ElDorado        73  46  56  42 /  10  80  50  20
Winfield-KWLD   74  47  58  42 /  10  80  50  10
Russell         61  40  55  38 /  70  70  40  10
Great Bend      64  40  55  39 /  60  70  40  10
Salina          70  43  56  40 /  50  70  50  10
McPherson       70  42  55  40 /  30  80  40  10
Coffeyville     75  52  59  44 /  10  50  70  30
Chanute         74  52  59  43 /  10  50  60  30
Iola            73  51  58  43 /  10  50  60  30
Parsons-KPPF    74  52  59  43 /  10  50  60  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...TAV
FIRE WEATHER...CDJ


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