Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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355
FXUS63 KICT 201751
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service TOPEKA KS
1251 PM CDT Sun May 20 2018

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH Monday)
ISSUED AT 445 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

Showers and t-storms will persist mainly this morning as
LLJ/isentropic lift persist in concert with transient waves aloft.
More widespread shower and t-storms should linger across southeast
Kansas through this morning with a general decrease in coverage
expected this afternoon. Conds should dry out tonight into Monday
as heights rise in wake of the weekend`s storm system.

.LONG TERM...(Monday NIGHT THROUGH Saturday)
ISSUED AT 445 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

Another upper low will drop into the desert southwest with ridging
fcst across the plains Monday. A weak wave will move across the
region Tues into Weds which could bring sct precip chcs but given
lack of boundary don`t see widespread precip chcs. The upper low
across the west will lift into the northern plains and then drop
south by late week. An associated cold front should sweep through
the area Fri into Sat which could bring another chc for convection
to the area then with dry and mild weather by Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z Monday AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1246 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

For the 18z TAFs, areas of light rain showers will persist through
the afternoon hours across southeast KS, resulting in periods of
IFR to MVFR cigs. As these showers lift to the northeast early
this evening, expect a brief period of VFR cigs before low stratus
builds in with IFR cigs and possibly some reduced visibilities
from patchy fog development. Models show these conditions
improving to VFR by mid-morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    73  58  82  65 /  90  10  10  10
Hutchinson      71  54  81  63 /  80  10  10  10
Newton          71  55  81  63 /  90  10  10  10
ElDorado        72  57  81  63 /  80  10  10  10
Winfield-KWLD   73  57  83  64 /  80  10  10  10
Russell         68  51  81  61 /  20  10  10  10
Great Bend      69  52  80  62 /  20  10  10  10
Salina          71  52  82  63 /  30  10   0  10
McPherson       70  53  81  63 /  70  10  10  10
Coffeyville     76  60  83  64 /  70  20  10  10
Chanute         75  58  82  63 /  80  20  10  10
Iola            75  58  81  63 /  80  20  10  10
Parsons-KPPF    76  60  83  64 /  80  20  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...OTR
LONG TERM...OTR
AVIATION...HENNECKE



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