Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46
000
FXUS63 KICT 201130
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service TOPEKA KS
630 AM CDT Sun May 20 2018

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH Monday)
ISSUED AT 445 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

Showers and t-storms will persist mainly this morning as
LLJ/isentropic lift persist in concert with transient waves aloft.
More widespread shower and t-storms should linger across southeast
Kansas through this morning with a general decrease in coverage
expected this afternoon. Conds should dry out tonight into Monday
as heights rise in wake of the weekend`s storm system.

.LONG TERM...(Monday NIGHT THROUGH Saturday)
ISSUED AT 445 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

Another upper low will drop into the desert southwest with ridging
fcst across the plains Monday. A weak wave will move across the
region Tues into Weds which could bring sct precip chcs but given
lack of boundary don`t see widespread precip chcs. The upper low
across the west will lift into the northern plains and then drop
south by late week. An associated cold front should sweep through
the area Fri into Sat which could bring another chc for convection
to the area then with dry and mild weather by Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z Monday MORNING)
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

MVFR to IFR ceilings accompanying low-level stratus will persist
through the morning hours. This afternoon, ceilings should tend to
gradually rise across the region. By late afternoon into tonight,
partial clearing is expected across parts of south-central KS, while
MVFR ceilings persist elsewhere. Showers and isolated thunderstorms
will move across portions of south-central and southeast KS into the
afternoon, with CNU experiencing the greatest potential for
thunderstorm activity. Showers and storms will have moved
northeast/east of the area by early evening, as a cold front moves
across the region. Southerly winds will shift to northerly following
frontal passage, with occasional gusts around 15 kt.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    74  58  82  65 /  50  10  10  10
Hutchinson      71  54  81  63 /  30  10  10  10
Newton          71  55  81  63 /  40  10  10  10
ElDorado        72  57  81  63 /  70  10  10  10
Winfield-KWLD   74  57  83  64 /  70  10  10  10
Russell         69  51  81  61 /  20  10  10  10
Great Bend      69  52  80  62 /  20  10  10  10
Salina          71  52  82  63 /  20  10   0  10
McPherson       70  53  81  63 /  20  10  10  10
Coffeyville     77  60  83  64 /  70  10  10  10
Chanute         76  58  82  63 /  80  10  10  10
Iola            76  58  81  63 /  80  10  10  10
Parsons-KPPF    77  60  83  64 /  80  10  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...OTR
LONG TERM...OTR
AVIATION...Cohen



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.