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000
FXUS62 KMFL 121620
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1220 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1211 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Sunny conditions prevail through the short term period behind a weak
frontal passage earlier today. high pressure quickly follows in the
wake of the FROPA and ushers drier air from the north.  North-
northwesterly winds will remain around 10-15mph this afternoon,
helping in keeping afternoon highs in the low-mid 80s.


For Saturday, models intensify and expand the high pressure cell
over the SE CONUS and into the state, with SFL in the southwest
periphery of the high. This will veer sfc winds to a more NE flow
while moderately tightening pressure gradients. Speeds will increase
to the 10-15 mph range with possible gusts to 20 mph at times. This
will again help in keeping afternoon temps in the lower temps across
much of SFL. &&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 216 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Long range models remain persistent in depicting broad high
pressure over the GOMEX remaining in control of the region,
with NE winds becoming gusty at times. Subsidence and dry
conditions will result in a warming trend, with afternoon
highs climbing into the upper 80s to around 90 for the east
coast and immediate interior areas, and low 90s over the
Gulf coast and northern interior.

In general, expect dry conditions to prevail, with little
to no significant rain through the forecast period. RH values
are also expected to decrease and potentially increasing
the fire weather risk early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Winds are trying to become northeasterly early this afternoon and
should veer to the northeast at all sites by the late afternoon
hours before becoming L/V overnight. VFR conditions prevail with
dry conditions expected. &&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1211 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Conditions are gradually improving today in the wake of a frontal
passage, with winds dropping to around 10kt by this afternoon.
However, a surge in winds could result in another round of SCEC
conditions tonight and into Saturday morning. Winds will likely
remain breezier through early next week.
&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1211 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

The high risk of rip currents will continue for the Palm beaches
through the rest of the weekend due to a lingering swell. A high
risk of rip currents continues for the Collier beaches today as
well. An elevated risk may also persist for the rest of the Atlantic
beaches as the low-lvl flow shifts northerly/northeasterly and
increases in the wake of a cold front.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            63  80  65  79 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     59  83  61  81 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        62  82  64  81 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        62  80  65  79 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  63  79  65  79 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  62  80  65  79 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   62  83  64  82 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  59  78  62  79 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       61  80  64  79 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           61  83  60  84 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM EDT this evening for FLZ069-
     168.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM....AR
AVIATION...Rizzuto