552
FNUS74 KMOB 072141
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Carr Unit 5...Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation
National Weather Service Mobile AL
441 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 CDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected at the burn site through
Wednesday. Afternoon relative humidity values remain well above
critical thresholds through the period. Southerly transport winds
continue tonight around 5 to 12 mph and increase to around 20 mph
during the day Wednesday. Afternoon dispersions on Wednesday are
expected to be good at the burn site.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy light fog is possible
late tonight and early Wednesday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1158 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....52.
LVORI...............1.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10
LAL.............1
Temp............86
RH..............57
20 FT wind dir..SSW
20 FT wind spd..14
20 FT wind gust.20
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8
Mix hgt (km)....1.2
Transp wind dir.SSW
Transp wind spd.16
Trans wind dir..SSW
Trans spd (m/s).7
Dispersion idx..52
LVORI...........1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1158 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....52 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........32  29  30  30  31  39  48  56  62  67  73  73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............83  81  79  77  75  74  74  73  73  72  72  73
RH..............63  67  74  79  87  90  90  93  93  97  97  93
20 FT wind dir..SSW S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..13  12  10  10  9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.17  16  15  15  13  12  9   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 2.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  16  13  13  13  14  12  12  10  9   9   9
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..52  11  10  10  9   10  10  8   8   7   7   7
LVORI...........1   3   4   4   5   5   6   7   7   7   8   8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1189 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph increasing to 20 to 21 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 9 meters/second increasing to around
                    9 meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 64.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  74  73  72  71  61  51  41  42  44  45  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  73  75  80  82  86  87  88  89  88  88  85
RH..............100 97  90  79  74  63  61  57  56  57  57  63
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   8   9   10  13  15  16  16  15  14
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   12  13  15  17  21  23  23  21  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.8 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW
Transp wind spd.10  10  15  16  16  17  18  18  18  20  21  20
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   9   9   9
Dispersion idx..8   11  29  40  45  47  52  55  62  63  65  65
LVORI...........8   6   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...14
Requested by...Matt Smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413387.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.smith@myfwc.com