Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FNUS74 KTSA 270942
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for BOMAG Rosson Hollow...Forest Service
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
442 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably cool temperatures will occur today, with
temperatures only warming into the mid 50s this afternoon. Light
winds this morning will remain light and variable through
tonight. Minimum relative humidity values will hover around 40
percent both this afternoon and Thursday afternoon. Near seasonal
temperatures are expected Thursday afternoon, with a high reaching
the mid 60s and light south-southwest winds. Precipitation is not
expected at the burn site through the forecast period.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Dewpoint............28 increasing to 31 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest
                    5 to 6 mph early in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the west around 6 mph early in the
                    afternoon shifting to the north 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12459 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (20983 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).50 increasing to 57 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   3   3   4   15  22  24  50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  46  48  50  53  54  55  55
Dewpoint........26  27  28  28  30  30  30  31
RH..............53  47  46  42  41  40  38  40
20 FT wind dir..E   E   S   S   SW  S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.2 3.0 3.6 3.8 3.9 4.1 3.8
Transp wind dir.NE  E   S   SW  W   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   5   5   6   6   5   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12  12  12  21  21  21  21  21
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).46  47  48  50  52  53  55  57

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Dewpoint............31.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest 3
                    to 5 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the north late in the evening shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 6 mph overnight shifting to the
                    east around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20983 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1967 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).57.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60  71  71  74  73  73  57  40  41  42  43  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............54  51  49  48  45  44  43  42  42  40  40  39
Dewpoint........32  33  33  33  32  33  32  31  31  30  30  30
RH..............43  50  54  56  60  65  65  65  65  67  67  70
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   NW  NW  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   NE
20 FT wind spd..5   4   4   4   3   4   4   4   4   4   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   4   6   6   6   6   6   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   SW  SW  W   N   N   NE  NE  E   SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   3   3   5   6   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..21  3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).58  59  59  59  58  57  57  56  56  56  56  56

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Dewpoint............32 increasing to 36 late in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the southwest 5
                    to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1967 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (43934 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).53 increasing to 60 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............38  38  40  44  49  51  53  56  58  59  60  60
Dewpoint........30  30  31  33  34  35  36  36  36  37  37  38
RH..............73  73  70  65  56  54  52  47  44  44  42  44
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   NE  E   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.4   4   6   6   6   6   7   10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.9 3.8 4.6 5.0 5.3 5.2 4.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   5   7   8   8   8   9   9   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   28  28  28  28  28  28  44  44  44  44  44
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR
1700FT Mix T(F).56  55  53  50  49  50  53  56  58  59  60  61

$$
Forecaster...B.MEJIA
Requested by...ZFMO
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408495.0/TSA
.DELDT 03/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.h.thomas@usda.gov


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