Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Glasgow, MT

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FXUS65 KGGW 220925
AFDGGW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
325 AM MDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Expect dry weather conditions today with temperatures returning to
near normal following the cold frontal passage from last evening.
Overall, highs across northeast Montana will generally range on
either side of 60 degrees, rather seasonable for this time of
year.

Tonight and Monday, a low pressure system will track well to the
south of the forecast area, with the steadiest associated
precipitation looking to occur over southern Montana. Latest model
runs do have the northern edge of what will be mainly rain
reaching as far north as Winnett, Jordan, and Sidney. Thus, within
the CWA, do not expect much rain north of the Missouri River over
the next few days.

On Tuesday, the next upper ridge will build over the western U.S.
and extend into northeast Montana with dry and mild weather
conditions. A shortwave will track along southern Saskatchewan and
into the Upper Midwest on Wednesday and Thursday. Most of the
forecast region will be left out of any precipitation chances with
this, but it may track close enough for it to be worth keeping an
eye on over the next few days.

Late next week, the forecast was trended toward consensus model
blends, reflecting a warm up and renewed dry weather as an upper
ridge once more builds across the western U.S. and amplifies into
eastern Montana and southern Saskatchewan. The CWA will remain on
the leading edge of this feature, pretty much situated under dry
northwest upper flow through that period. Maliawco


&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will remain in place over the area terminals today.
Expect that winds will west to northwest this morning at 5 to 10
kts, increasing to between 10 and 15 kts this afternoon. Maliawco


&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Flood warnings remain in effect for the Milk River and its
tributaries until further notice.

The Milk River continues to slowly rise from Dodson through
Nashua. The main concern is from Saco to Glasgow where Moderate
Flood Stage is expected to hold into next week.

The Frenchman Creek has been rising and a Flood Advisory has been
issued for this in northeast Phillips County. TFJ

To monitor river stage readings, go to our Advanced Hydrologic
Prediction Service (AHPS) page at www.weather.gov/glasgow then
click on "Rivers and Lakes" then "River Observations". Data for
this page are provided by the USGS.


&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

weather.gov/glasgow



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