Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
297
FNAK51 PAFC 120004
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
404 PM AKDT Sat May 11 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A front is lifting north off the coast along Southcentral. Mostly
easterly flow across the area is being causing dry conditions on
the lee of the Kenai, Chugach, and Talkeetna mountains. Gusty
winds are expected to gradually diminish tonight. Gusty winds may
return Sunday afternoon, but flow will shift more southerly as a
front continues to lift onshore. Any subtle variations in the wind
direction during the frontal passage could lead to the formation
of showers. For Sunday, and more so for the early half of the
week, precipitation chances will be low, but with breaks in the
clouds and daytime heating returning to the area, diurnally driven
terrain showers will be possible.
AKZ101-121800-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
404 PM AKDT Sat May 11 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (-2) 42-48 (+3) 31 44-50
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+10) 47-62 (+3) 81-89 40-63
20FTWND(MPH) E 3-31 G41 SW 2-12 SE 5-17 SW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4248 5722
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 9 NW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35832 43072
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (0) 54 (+1) 36 56
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+5) 44-50 (+6) 87 42-49
20FTWND(MPH) W 2-10 W 1-10 SE 4-13 W 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4610 5929
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 7 W 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33375 38584
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-121800-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
404 PM AKDT Sat May 11 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 60 50 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (0) 41-47 (+2) 31 42-49
RH % (24H TREND) 71-82 (+7) 46-61 (+7) 81-87 44-65
20FTWND(MPH) E 0-23 G33 SW 3-8 SW 2-8 W 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4517 6140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25509 41290
CWR 0 20 10 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 40 30 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (-2) 55 (+1) 35 58
RH % (24H TREND) 77-86 (+16) 41-47 (+8) 87 46
20FTWND(MPH) E 4-15 S 2-9 S 2-11 W 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4908 7143
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 W 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 38861 49725
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-121800-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
404 PM AKDT Sat May 11 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-2) 46-54 (+2) 34 48-57
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (+11) 44-61 (+3) 83-89 41-57
20FTWND(MPH) NE 3-18 G28 SW 1-7 S 1-7 N 1-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4907 6170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 6 NW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30609 37744
CWR 30 10 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (0) 52 (0) 36 54
RH % (24H TREND) 86-93 (+13) 50-64 (+5) 87-93 48-62
20FTWND(MPH) N 1-11 G19 SW 3-7 SW 1-6 NW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3695 4816
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 N 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 18321 26664
CWR 20 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-121800-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
404 PM AKDT Sat May 11 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 60 50 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (+1) 37-47 (+2) 33 39-48
RH % (24H TREND) 88-95 (+2) 56-76 (-3) 86-93 53-72
20FTWND(MPH) E 16-34 G41 E 2-9 E 3-10 E 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2910 4438
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 8 NE 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 19627 31066
CWR 70 10 10 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 70 60 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (+2) 39-45 (+2) 31-37 40-47
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (0) 69-84 (-3) 90-96 67-85
20FTWND(MPH) NE 8-27 E 0-7 E 1-8 NE 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1777 2906
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 6 NE 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 12557 25060
CWR 90 20 30 20
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-121800-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
404 PM AKDT Sat May 11 2024
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 60 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 20-28 (+2) 29-43 (+1) 18-27 30-43
RH % (24H TREND) 84-91 (+12) 46-69 (+6) 81-89 47-69
20FTWND(MPH) SE 3-19 SW 3-13 SW 3-13 W 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5190 7116
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 NW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 80878 58617
CWR 30 30 10 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 40 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (0) 51 (+1) 32 54
RH % (24H TREND) 81-87 (+15) 39 (+1) 77-85 37
20FTWND(MPH) S 5-13 G21 S 5-13 G20 SW 4-11 G20 SW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7049 7794
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 W 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 97038 64485
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-121800-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
404 PM AKDT Sat May 11 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 40 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (+1) 41-48 (+2) 33 41-48
RH % (24H TREND) 76-83 (+9) 42-55 (+6) 84-90 48-64
20FTWND(MPH) SE 5-14 SW 2-8 SW 3-9 SW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4337 6350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 W 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29106 42057
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 30 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (-2) 56 (+3) 35 58
RH % (24H TREND) 79-85 (+12) 35-45 (+4) 91 38-48
20FTWND(MPH) W 4-9 S 1-9 S 4-10 SW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5363 7616
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 W 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 38027 41922
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$