Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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084
FNUS52 KILM 262018
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
418 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda ridging will extend west and onshore in the vicinity of the
NC-SC state border. This will shift north of the forecast area by Sun.
Subtropical Storm Alberto will lift slowly through the Gulf of Mexico
into early next week. Deep tropical moisture will lift into the Carolinas
beginning Sunday, and continuing into the mid-week period of next week.
Expect widespread heavy rainfall especially between Sun night through
Tuesday morning.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate.

NCZ105>110-271230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
418 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Memorial Day

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           90           100
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          70           85           71           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  9         S  6         S  7         S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         S 10         SE  5        S  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.66         1.64
Precip duration                    1            11           12
Inversion             2000         76/0900      2000         77/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           60           100          74
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5110                      3040
Transport wnd (mph)                S 20                      S 15
Ventilation rate                   102200                    45600
ADI early             49 Gen good  40 Fair      41 Gen good  9 poor
ADI late              5 Very poor  57 Gen good  6 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            6            9
Max LVORI late        7            2            8            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-271230-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
418 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Memorial Day

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           90           100
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          70           86           70           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  9         S  6         S  7         SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         S  9         SE  3        S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.69         1.59
Precip duration                    2            10           12
Inversion             2000         75/0900      2000         76/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           57           100          72
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5420                      3170
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      S  9
Ventilation rate                   97560                     28530
ADI early             51 Gen good  29 Fair      42 Gen good  11 poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  59 Gen good  4 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            8            6            9
Max LVORI late        8            1            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-271230-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
418 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Memorial Day

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           90           100
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          70           87           70           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  9         S  7         S  8         SE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         S 10         SE  4        SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.51         1.10
Precip duration                    2            8            12
Inversion             2000         75/0900      2000         76/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           55           99           69
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5440                      3290
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      S  8
Ventilation rate                   92480                     26320
ADI early             44 Gen good  35 Fair      41 Gen good  11 poor
ADI late              6 Very poor  56 Gen good  5 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            9
Max LVORI late        7            1            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-271230-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
418 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Memorial Day

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            60           100          100
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          70           85           70           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  9         S  7         SE  9        SE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SE 11        SE  5        S  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         1.05         1.32
Precip duration                    2            11           12
Inversion             2000         76/0900      2000         77/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        96           63           100          74
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5200                      3030
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 22                     S 15
Ventilation rate                   114400                    45450
ADI early             47 Gen good  34 Fair      46 Gen good  17 Gen poor
ADI late              5 Very poor  63 Good      7 poor       34 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            6            9
Max LVORI late        7            3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-271230-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
418 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Memorial Day

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            60           90           100
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          69           86           70           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         S  6         SE  7        SE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SE 10        SE  4        SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.71         0.92
Precip duration                    2            11           12
Inversion             2000         75/0900      2000         77/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           57           100          70
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5450                      3160
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 18                     S  8
Ventilation rate                   98100                     25280
ADI early             42 Gen good  29 Fair      41 Gen good  13 Gen poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  57 Gen good  6 Very poor  19 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       5            8            7            9
Max LVORI late        8            2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-271230-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
418 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Memorial Day

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           90           100
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          69           87           69           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         S  6         SE  7        SE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         S  8         SE  5        SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.39         0.66
Precip duration                    2            9            12
Inversion             2000         73/0900      2000         76/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           54           99           66
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5470                      3380
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      SE  3
Ventilation rate                   82050                     10140
ADI early             38 Fair      30 Fair      37 Fair      9 poor
ADI late              5 Very poor  49 Gen good  5 Very poor  12 poor
Max LVORI early       4            8            5            9
Max LVORI late        8            1            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

17



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