Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 250722
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
322 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds and a few light showers remain today as an area of
low pressure continues to exit eastward. Another area of low
pressure moves in on Thursday with another round of rain expected.
High temperatures will remain a few degrees below seasonal normals.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260830-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
322 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (-1)   43-48 (-5)   60-65
RH % (24h trend)      67-72 (-2)   95-100 (0)   49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     50           20           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.09         0.02         0.22
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3400                      5300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1400                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 17                     S  3
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    57800                     15900
Dispersion            21 Fair                   10 Poor
Max LVORI             6                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 10 G20                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G21    NW  6        S  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. Light winds
becoming northwest less than 10 mph after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s to 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260830-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
322 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (-1)   43-48 (-2)   57-62
RH % (24h trend)      69-74 (-2)   92-97 (-3)   58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 10 G25                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G25    NW  7 G20    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     60           20           80
Precip duration       2            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   5 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.09         0.02         0.27
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1200                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 21                     S  5
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    84000                     25500
Dispersion            20 Gen poor               9 Poor
Max LVORI             6                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 13 G25                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 13 G25    NW  9 G20    S  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 40s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 50s to
lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-260830-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
322 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (+1)   44-49 (0)    55-60
RH % (24h trend)      67-72 (-7)   90-95 (-5)   64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G21    N  5 G16     SE  5 G21
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     60           20           100
Precip duration       2            1            5
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   5 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.07         0.01         0.50
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 17                     SE  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    79900                     43200
Dispersion            22 Fair                   10 Poor
Max LVORI             6                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 10 G20                 S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 11 G21    N  7 G16     SE  7 G21

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s to lower 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph shifting
to the northwest after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to
upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s
to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-260830-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
322 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+3)   47-52 (+1)   56-61
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (-15)  88-93 (-7)   72-77
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      E  6 G19
Precip type           showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           20           90
Precip duration       1            1            7
Precip begin          8 AM         5 AM         Continuing
Precip end            8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.58
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1900                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 16                     SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    64000                     45000
Dispersion            26 Fair                   20 Gen poor
Max LVORI             5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  9 G18                 SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G19    N  5         E  8 G19

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to
lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-260830-
Nantahala National Forest-
322 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+3)   44-49 (-1)   57-62
RH % (24h trend)      59-64 (-14)  89-94 (-6)   70-75
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  9 G21                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G22    N  5 G15     E  8 G22
Precip type           showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           100
Precip duration       1            1            5
Precip begin          8 AM         5 AM         Continuing
Precip end            8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.60
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3400                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1100                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 18                     SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    61200                     51000
Dispersion            17 Gen poor               24 Fair
Max LVORI             6                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 11 G21                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 12 G22    N  7 G15     E 10 G22

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260830-
East Tennessee District East-
322 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (-2)   45-50 (-3)   61-66
RH % (24h trend)      65-70 (+1)   93-98 (0)    53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  8 G22                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G24    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     40           0            70
Precip duration       1                         2
Precip begin          8 AM                      8 AM
Precip end            Continuing                Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.28
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3800                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2300                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 16                     SE  5
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    60800                     21000
Dispersion            32 Fair                   11 Poor
Max LVORI             4                         6
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 10 G22                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 12 G24    NW  5        SE  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s to
lower 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s to
mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260830-
East Tennessee District West-
322 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (0)    47-52 (-2)   59-64
RH % (24h trend)      61-66 (-9)   91-96 (-2)   62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  6 G18                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip type           showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     30           0            70
Precip duration       1                         4
Precip begin          8 AM                      8 AM
Precip end            8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.35
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3800                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2500                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 15                     SE  6
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    57000                     21600
Dispersion            31 Fair                   12 Poor
Max LVORI             4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      E  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s
to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to
upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-260830-
Cumberland District South-
322 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018 /222 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+2)   49-54 (0)    58-63
RH % (24h trend)      58-63 (-6)   91-96 (+2)   70-75
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  7 G22                 SE  5 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G21    LGT/VAR      NE  7 G20
Precip type           showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           90
Precip duration       1            1            7
Precip begin          8 AM         2 AM         Continuing
Precip end            5 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.02         0.51
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4200                      3400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3100                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 16                     E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    67200                     34000
Dispersion            41 Gen good               19 Gen poor
Max LVORI             4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 10 G22                 SE  6 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 11 G21    N  6 G15     NE  9 G20

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s to
lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to mid
70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to
upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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