558
FNUS73 KGRR 020919
FWSGRR

Spot Forecast for Deep Lake Woods...MI DNR
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
519 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (616) 949-5150, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds will increase through the day, with a chance of a shower or
storm late in the day. Showers and storms will become likely tonight
and early Friday, before the system moves east of the area.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the day. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the day. Chance of
                    showers in the evening.
Temperature.........64 at ignition...Max 78.
RH..................52 percent at ignition...Min 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 10 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Southeast winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4000 ft
                    AGL.
Mixing winds........Southeast 15 mph shifting to the south
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....320 /good/ at ignition. Max...600 /excellent/.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
Sky (%).........59     71     77     77     78     79
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
Temp............64     70     75     77     76     70
RH..............52     45     41     38     41     63
20 ft wind......E 10   SE 10  SE 10  SE 9   SE 9   SE 9
20 ft wind gust.12     12     14     16     16     17
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   3200   3800   4000   3100   500
Mixing wind.....E 15   S 14   S 16   S 16   S 16   SE 13
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      3
Smoke disprsl...320    440    560    600    500    70

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Temperature.........Min 59.
RH..................Max 90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming light.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 9 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40 (poor).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely
                    until midday. Chance of thunderstorms through
                    the day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 71.
RH..................Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 6 to 9 mph increasing to 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor) early in the morning increasing to
                    500 (good) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Jeruzal
Requested by...Tom Barnes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412973.0/GRR
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL barnest2@michigan.gov