216
FNUS73 KDLH 102028
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Roos RX...Wisconsin DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
328 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on May 10.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated strong thunderstorms with localized erratic wind gusts
up to 50 mph and small hail possible in the strongest storms this
afternoon. Localized rainfall amounts of 0.10-0.25" are likely
with any showers or storms. Northwesterly winds gusting to 25
mph. Minimum RH near 30 percent due to deeper mixing heights
today though shower activity may help to keep it a tad higher than
this especially if you get a shower. Winds calm overnight, but
showers don`t decrease in coverage until after sunset. RH
recoveries near 80%.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon, then chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1600, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 23 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (107200-132300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.10 inches.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  30  30
LAL.............3   2   2
Temp............63  62  62
RH..............39  41  42
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   10  11
20 FT wind gust.18  20  21
Mix hgt (kft)...5.4 6.0 5.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.23  25  23
Haines index....4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/1000107 132 108

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (0-10 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 3 until 2100, then 2 until
                    2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 20 mph decreasing to 9 to 12
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (73600 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to
                    fair (3800-18700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).40     30     10     10     0      0
LAL.............2      3      1      1      1      1
Temp............61     54     48     46     43     42
RH..............44     59     71     73     79     84
20 ft wind......NW 12  NW 11  NW 7   NW 7   NW 8   NW 7
20 ft wind gust.20     16     12     11     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....4300   800    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..NW 20  NW 16  N 10   NW 9   N 10   N 10
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100074     11     4      4      5      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 14 mph shifting to the west
                    around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4000-19000 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (60400-80900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............40     46     56     62     66     68
RH..............88     77     54     42     33     27
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 7   NW 8   NW 9   NW 9   W 9
20 ft wind gust.11     11     13     14     14     13
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1200   3700   6100   7200   7100
Transport wind..N 10   N 12   N 13   N 14   NW 12  W 13
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10004      12     40     73     72     78

$$
Forecaster...Jonathan
Requested by...Zak Neitzel
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413685.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zachary.neitzel@wisconsin.gov