Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FNUS73 KDLH 232355
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Homestead...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
655 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 1900 CDT on May 23.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast...
please call the National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Some showers are approaching the Brainerd Lakes area at this
time. Thunderstorms are a bit farther downstream near Alexandria.
Will continue to see showers and a few thunderstorms move toward
the burn site through the night. Surface wind will be southerly
through the night, becoming gusty Thursday afternoon.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the
                    evening. A chance of thunderstorms through the
                    night. Showers likely after midnight. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the night.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL decreasing to 1700 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (63000 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to
                    fair (2400-21200 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY
Weather cov.....                CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Temp............78  75  71  68  65  64  63  62  62  61  60
RH..............56  62  71  78  87  93  97  100 97  100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 3.1 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
SDspl kt-ft/100063  42  21  3   3   3   2   2   2   2   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. A slight chance of thunderstorms
                    in the morning. A chance of showers through the
                    day. A chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph increasing to around
                    10 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL late in
                    the morning, then increasing to 8000 ft AGL in
                    the afternoon decreasing to 5400 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2700-19200 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair (29900 knot-ft) late in the morning, then
                    increasing to excellent (62600 knot-ft) late in
                    the morning increasing to excellent (103400
                    knot-ft) early in the afternoon increasing to
                    excellent (149300-180300 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    excellent (114700 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............60     65     75     81     84     84
RH..............100    93     69     56     49     48
20 ft wind......S 5    S 5    S 10   S 10   S 10   S 10
20 ft wind gust.6      7             11     15     17
Mix hgt (ft)....300    800    2000   5400   7400   8000
Transport wind..S 15   S 15   S 15   S 20   SW 25  S 25
SDspl kt-ft/10003      11     30     103    165    180

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 10 mph becoming southwest
                    after midnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (54500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (4400
                    knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Temp............79        71        67        63
RH..............50        67        82        88
20 FT wind......S 10G12   S 10G11   S 5G9     S 5G6
Mix hgt (ft)....2800      300       300       300
Transport wind..S 20      S 20      S 15      S 15
SDspl kt-ft/100055        4         4         3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. A slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph increasing to west
                    late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (254000 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE                        S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE                        S CHC
Temp............62        71        82        85
RH..............92        78        53        41
20 FT wind......SW 5G6    SW 5G7    W 10G11   W 10G13
Mix hgt (ft)....300       3500      7500      9800
Transport wind..SW 15     SW 15     W 20      W 30
SDspl kt-ft/10003         48        143       234

$$
Forecaster...Greg
Requested by...Backe
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1810589.0/DLH
.EMAIL jamesburke@fs.fed.us



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