Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
UXUS97 KBOU 231230
SRGBOU

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
0626 MDT Saturday, March 23, 2024

This forecast is for Saturday, March 23, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 59.7 F/15.4 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1207 ft/min (6.1 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 18039 ft MSL (12708 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 67.0 F/19.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12837 ft MSL (7507 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 03/24....... Fair

Wave Soaring Index............................. Poor
Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1800 MDT)......... No change
Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... None
Weak PVA/NVA (through 1800 MDT)................ Weak PVA
Potential height of wave....................... 44920 ft MSL (39589 ft AGL)
Wave soaring outlook for Sunday 03/24.......... Poor

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:56:38 / 19:14:56 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 18 min 18 sec (738 min 18 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:05:47 MDT... 51.66 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 03/23/2024 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 10512 ft MSL (5181 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15051 ft MSL (9720 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16104 ft MSL (10773 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.4
K index......................... +16.8

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -57.7 -71.9   280   66   34   1.3   0.7      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -55.7 -68.3   280   78   40   1.5   0.8      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -58.2 -72.8   275   72   37  -1.9  -1.0      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -58.8 -73.8   275   68   35   1.1   0.6      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -58.1 -72.6   270   60   31   1.2   0.6      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -57.4 -71.3   265   52   27   2.9   1.6      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -52.7 -62.9   260   45   23   7.2   4.0      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -48.3 -54.9   260   40   20   8.7   4.8   26.6  79.9     5.4      M    M
 29000  -45.7 -50.3   260   39   20   8.6   4.7   26.0  78.8     5.0      M    M
 28000  -43.2 -45.8   260   38   20   8.6   4.7   25.5  77.9     4.7      M    M
 27000  -40.6 -41.1   260   37   19   8.5   4.7   25.2  77.3     4.5      M    M
 26000  -38.1 -36.6   260   36   18   8.3   4.6   24.6  76.2     4.0      M    M
 25000  -35.6 -32.1   260   34   18   8.3   4.6   24.0  75.2     3.6      M    M
 24000  -33.2 -27.8   255   33   17   8.3   4.6   23.6  74.4     3.3      M    M
 23000  -30.7 -23.3   260   32   17   8.2   4.5   23.0  73.3     2.8      M    M
 22000  -28.2 -18.8   260   32   17   8.2   4.5   22.4  72.3     2.4      M    M
 21000  -25.8 -14.4   265   33   17   8.1   4.4   21.9  71.5     2.0      M    M
 20000  -23.5 -10.3   265   33   17   7.7   4.2   21.1  70.0     1.3      M    M
 19500  -22.4  -8.3   265   33   17   7.7   4.2   20.8  69.4     1.0      M    M
 19000  -21.2  -6.2   270   33   17   7.7   4.2   20.4  68.7     0.7      M    M
 18500  -20.1  -4.2   270   34   17   7.6   4.2   20.1  68.2     0.4      M    M
 18000  -19.0  -2.2   270   34   17   7.2   4.0   19.7  67.4     0.1      M    M
 17500  -17.4   0.7   270   34   17   7.2   4.0   19.1  66.3    -0.5   1144  5.8
 17000  -16.3   2.7   270   33   17   7.2   4.0   18.6  65.5    -0.9   1097  5.6
 16500  -15.2   4.6   270   33   17   7.2   4.0   18.2  64.8    -1.3   1050  5.3
 16000  -14.1   6.6   265   32   16   7.8   4.3   17.8  64.1    -1.7   1002  5.1
 15500  -13.0   8.6   265   31   16   7.8   4.3   17.5  63.5    -2.0    953  4.8
 15000  -11.8  10.8   265   29   15   8.4   4.6   17.2  63.0    -2.3    903  4.6
 14500  -10.5  13.1   265   28   14   8.6   4.7   17.0  62.6    -2.5    850  4.3
 14000   -9.3  15.3   265   26   14   8.8   4.8   16.8  62.3    -2.7    797  4.0
 13500   -7.9  17.8   265   25   13   9.0   4.9   16.7  62.0    -2.8    742  3.8
 13000   -6.6  20.1   265   24   12   9.0   4.9   16.6  61.8    -3.0    687  3.5
 12500   -5.2  22.6   265   22   12   9.0   4.9   16.4  61.6    -3.1    632  3.2
 12000   -3.9  25.0   270   21   11   9.1   5.0   16.3  61.4    -3.3    578  2.9
 11500   -2.5  27.5   270   19   10   9.3   5.1   16.2  61.2    -3.4    522  2.7
 11000   -1.2  29.8   265   17    9   8.9   4.9   16.2  61.1    -3.5    465  2.4
 10500    0.0  32.0   265   16    8   7.4   4.1   15.9  60.6    -3.7    415  2.1
 10250    0.6  33.1   265   16    8   9.3   5.1   15.8  60.4    -3.9    390  2.0
 10000    1.4  34.5   265   15    8  11.7   6.4   15.9  60.5    -3.8    358  1.8
  9750    2.3  36.1   265   15    7   9.7   5.3   15.9  60.7    -3.7    326  1.7
  9500    2.9  37.2   265   14    7   8.2   4.5   15.9  60.5    -3.8    299  1.5
  9250    3.5  38.3   265   13    7   9.0   4.9   15.8  60.4    -3.9    273  1.4
  9000    4.2  39.6   265   12    6   7.3   4.0   15.7  60.2    -4.0    246  1.3
  8750    4.7  40.5   265   12    6   7.1   3.9   15.4  59.8    -4.3    224  1.1
  8500    5.3  41.5   265   11    6   8.6   4.7   15.3  59.5    -4.4    198  1.0
  8250    5.9  42.6   265   10    5   8.1   4.4   15.2  59.3    -4.5    173  0.9
  8000    6.5  43.7   265    9    5   6.3   3.4   15.0  59.0    -4.7    149  0.8
  7750    6.8  44.2   265    8    4   3.7   2.1   14.6  58.3    -5.1    130  0.7
  7500    7.1  44.8   265    8    4   4.0   2.2   14.2  57.5    -5.6    115  0.6
  7250    7.3  45.1   265    7    4   1.8   1.0   13.7  56.7    -6.1    100  0.5
  7000    7.3  45.1   270    6    3  -1.7  -1.0   12.9  55.2    -6.9     94  0.5
  6750    7.1  44.8   270    6    3  -4.3  -2.4   12.0  53.5    -7.8     94  0.5
  6500    6.6  43.9   275    5    3  -6.1  -3.4   10.8  51.4    -9.1    100  0.5
  6250    6.1  43.0   280    5    2  -6.6  -3.6    9.6  49.3   -10.3    108  0.5
  6000    5.5  41.9   280    5    2  -8.9  -4.9    8.3  46.9   -11.7    118  0.6
  5750    4.9  40.8   280    4    2  -4.3  -2.3    6.9  44.5   -13.0    129  0.7
  5500    4.7  40.5   255    3    2  -3.6  -2.0    6.1  42.9   -14.0    128  0.7

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           03/23/2024 at 0900 MDT          |       03/23/2024 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +1.1        | CAPE...   +62.3    LI...       +0.4
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +18.3        | CINH...   -22.5    K Index... +20.8
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -57.4 -71.3  280  61 32   0.5   0.3 | -56.1 -69.0  270  62 32  -0.1  -0.1
 45000 -56.6 -69.9  280  81 42   0.6   0.3 | -56.3 -69.3  270  87 45  -0.0  -0.0
 40000 -58.0 -72.4  275  83 43  -1.0  -0.5 | -58.6 -73.5  270  85 44  -1.6  -0.9
 38000 -58.0 -72.4  270  79 41   1.9   1.0 | -58.7 -73.7  265  81 41   2.7   1.5
 36000 -56.9 -70.4  270  67 35   1.9   1.0 | -57.1 -70.8  265  70 36   2.8   1.5
 34000 -55.8 -68.4  270  55 28   3.3   1.8 | -55.4 -67.7  260  60 31   3.9   2.2
 32000 -51.7 -61.1  270  49 25   6.1   3.3 | -51.4 -60.5  260  54 28   6.0   3.3
 30000 -48.0 -54.4  265  44 23   7.8   4.3 | -47.7 -53.9  260  49 25   8.3   4.5
 29000 -45.7 -50.3  265  41 21   7.6   4.2 | -45.3 -49.5  260  47 24   8.0   4.4
 28000 -43.4 -46.1  265  38 20   7.6   4.2 | -42.9 -45.2  265  46 24   8.0   4.4
 27000 -41.2 -42.2  265  35 18   7.6   4.2 | -40.5 -40.9  265  45 23   8.0   4.4
 26000 -38.6 -37.5  265  34 18   8.6   4.7 | -38.0 -36.4  265  42 22   8.5   4.6
 25000 -36.1 -33.0  265  34 18   8.6   4.7 | -35.4 -31.7  265  40 20   8.5   4.6
 24000 -33.5 -28.3  265  34 18   8.6   4.7 | -32.9 -27.2  265  37 19   8.5   4.7
 23000 -31.0 -23.8  265  34 18   8.5   4.7 | -30.4 -22.7  265  35 18   8.3   4.5
 22000 -28.4 -19.1  265  34 18   8.5   4.7 | -27.9 -18.2  265  35 18   8.3   4.5
 21000 -25.9 -14.6  270  34 17   8.4   4.6 | -25.5 -13.9  265  34 18   8.3   4.5
 20000 -23.5 -10.3  270  33 17   8.2   4.5 | -23.0  -9.4  260  33 17   8.3   4.6
 19500 -22.2  -8.0  270  33 17   8.2   4.5 | -21.8  -7.2  260  32 16   8.3   4.6
 19000 -21.0  -5.8  270  33 17   8.2   4.5 | -20.5  -4.9  260  31 16   8.3   4.6
 18500 -19.8  -3.6  270  32 17   8.2   4.5 | -19.3  -2.7  260  31 16   8.2   4.5
 18000 -18.6  -1.5  270  32 17   7.9   4.3 | -18.2  -0.8  260  29 15   7.2   3.9
 17500 -17.4   0.7  270  32 16   7.9   4.4 | -17.1   1.2  260  28 14   7.3   4.0
 17000 -15.7   3.7  270  31 16   7.8   4.3 | -16.1   3.0  260  27 14   7.3   4.0
 16500 -14.5   5.9  270  31 16   7.8   4.3 | -14.5   5.9  260  25 13   7.2   4.0
 16000 -13.4   7.9  270  30 16   7.6   4.1 | -13.4   7.9  255  24 12   7.8   4.3
 15500 -12.3   9.9  270  29 15   7.6   4.2 | -12.2  10.0  255  23 12   7.8   4.3
 15000 -11.2  11.8  270  28 14   7.6   4.2 | -11.0  12.2  255  22 11   7.9   4.3
 14500 -10.1  13.8  270  26 14   7.6   4.2 |  -9.9  14.2  255  21 11   7.9   4.3
 14000  -9.0  15.8  265  25 13   7.9   4.3 |  -8.7  16.3  255  20 10   8.2   4.5
 13500  -7.7  18.1  265  23 12   8.2   4.5 |  -7.4  18.7  255  20 10   8.6   4.7
 13000  -6.5  20.3  265  22 11   8.2   4.5 |  -6.2  20.8  255  20 10   8.6   4.7
 12500  -5.3  22.5  265  20 10   8.1   4.4 |  -4.9  23.2  255  19 10   8.5   4.7
 12000  -4.1  24.6  265  18  9   8.3   4.6 |  -3.7  25.3  255  18  9   8.5   4.7
 11500  -2.8  27.0  265  17  9   8.8   4.8 |  -2.4  27.7  250  17  9   8.6   4.7
 11000  -1.5  29.3  265  16  8   8.2   4.5 |  -1.1  30.0  250  16  8   8.1   4.5
 10500  -0.4  31.3  270  15  8   6.5   3.5 |  -0.1  31.8  250  14  7   6.0   3.3
 10250   0.1  32.2  270  14  7   9.0   4.9 |   0.4  32.7  245  13  7   9.1   5.0
 10000   0.9  33.6  270  14  7  12.0   6.6 |   1.3  34.3  245  12  6  12.0   6.6
  9750   1.7  35.1  270  13  7   9.8   5.4 |   2.1  35.8  240  12  6   9.0   5.0
  9500   2.4  36.3  270  13  6   8.3   4.5 |   2.7  36.9  240  11  6   7.9   4.3
  9250   3.0  37.4  270  12  6   9.1   5.0 |   3.2  37.8  235  10  5   7.5   4.1
  9000   3.7  38.7  270  11  6   7.0   3.8 |   3.8  38.8  230   9  5  10.4   5.7
  8750   4.1  39.4  265  10  5   7.0   3.9 |   4.7  40.5  230   9  5  10.8   5.9
  8500   4.8  40.6  265  10  5   9.0   5.0 |   5.4  41.7  225   9  4   8.2   4.5
  8250   5.4  41.7  260   9  5   8.2   4.5 |   6.0  42.8  220   8  4   8.6   4.7
  8000   6.0  42.8  260   8  4   6.6   3.6 |   6.6  43.9  210   7  4   7.0   3.9
  7750   6.4  43.5  250   7  4   5.9   3.2 |   7.1  44.8  205   7  3   8.0   4.4
  7500   6.9  44.4  245   6  3   7.1   3.9 |   7.8  46.0  200   6  3   9.8   5.4
  7250   7.4  45.3  235   6  3   4.8   2.6 |   8.5  47.3  200   6  3   8.3   4.6
  7000   7.6  45.7  230   6  3   1.9   1.0 |   9.0  48.2  190   6  3   6.4   3.5
  6750   7.7  45.9  220   6  3   0.4   0.2 |   9.6  49.3  185   5  3   9.2   5.0
  6500   7.6  45.7  220   6  3  -1.2  -0.7 |  10.4  50.7  190   5  3  11.8   6.5
  6250   7.4  45.3  215   6  3  -6.2  -3.4 |  11.2  52.2  190   4  2  10.3   5.6
  6000   6.6  43.9  215   5  3 -11.0  -6.1 |  11.9  53.4  185   4  2   9.8   5.4
  5750   5.9  42.6  215   5  3  -6.0  -3.3 |  12.7  54.9  180   4  2   9.8   5.4
  5500   5.7  42.3  215   4  2   2.0   1.1 |  13.5  56.3  185   4  2  15.6   8.5

           03/23/2024 at 1500 MDT          |       03/23/2024 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...  +202.0    LI...       -1.2        | CAPE...  +165.9    LI...       -0.7
CINH...    -5.6    K Index... +24.7        | CINH...   -24.0    K Index... +24.1
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -57.4 -71.3  265  66 34   0.3   0.2 | -57.8 -72.0  265  66 34   0.2   0.1
 45000 -57.0 -70.6  265  86 44   0.4   0.2 | -57.6 -71.7  260  83 43   0.1   0.1
 40000 -57.7 -71.9  265  97 50  -0.6  -0.3 | -57.8 -72.0  260  98 50  -0.2  -0.1
 38000 -57.5 -71.5  265  94 49   2.2   1.2 | -57.5 -71.5  260  97 50   2.0   1.1
 36000 -56.2 -69.2  260  78 40   2.2   1.2 | -56.3 -69.3  255  80 41   2.1   1.1
 34000 -54.9 -66.8  260  62 32   3.6   2.0 | -55.1 -67.2  255  63 32   3.1   1.7
 32000 -51.4 -60.5  255  59 30   5.8   3.2 | -51.7 -61.1  250  57 29   5.8   3.2
 30000 -47.4 -53.3  250  56 29   8.1   4.5 | -48.2 -54.8  245  51 26   6.8   3.8
 29000 -45.0 -49.0  250  53 28   7.9   4.3 | -45.9 -50.6  245  51 26   8.1   4.4
 28000 -42.7 -44.9  250  51 26   7.9   4.3 | -42.8 -45.0  250  50 26   8.1   4.4
 27000 -40.3 -40.5  250  49 25   7.9   4.4 | -40.4 -40.7  250  49 25   8.0   4.4
 26000 -37.7 -35.9  250  46 24   8.8   4.8 | -37.8 -36.0  250  47 24   9.0   5.0
 25000 -35.1 -31.2  245  44 22   8.8   4.8 | -35.1 -31.2  250  43 22   9.0   5.0
 24000 -32.5 -26.5  245  41 21   8.9   4.9 | -32.4 -26.3  250  40 21   9.1   5.0
 23000 -30.0 -22.0  245  38 19   8.1   4.4 | -29.9 -21.8  245  38 20   8.2   4.5
 22000 -27.6 -17.7  240  34 18   8.1   4.4 | -27.4 -17.3  245  36 19   8.2   4.5
 21000 -25.2 -13.4  240  31 16   8.0   4.4 | -25.0 -13.0  240  34 18   8.2   4.5
 20000 -22.9  -9.2  235  29 15   7.7   4.2 | -22.7  -8.9  240  33 17   7.8   4.3
 19500 -21.8  -7.2  235  28 14   7.7   4.2 | -21.5  -6.7  240  32 17   7.8   4.3
 19000 -20.6  -5.1  235  27 14   7.7   4.2 | -20.4  -4.7  240  31 16   7.8   4.3
 18500 -19.5  -3.1  235  26 13   7.8   4.3 | -19.2  -2.6  240  31 16   7.8   4.3
 18000 -18.3  -0.9  235  25 13   8.0   4.4 | -18.1  -0.6  240  30 15   8.0   4.4
 17500 -17.1   1.2  235  25 13   8.0   4.4 | -16.9   1.6  235  28 15   7.9   4.4
 17000 -15.9   3.4  235  24 12   8.0   4.4 | -15.7   3.7  235  27 14   7.9   4.3
 16500 -14.8   5.4  235  23 12   8.1   4.4 | -14.6   5.7  235  26 14   7.9   4.3
 16000 -13.6   7.5  235  23 12   8.1   4.4 | -13.4   7.9  235  25 13   7.9   4.3
 15500 -12.4   9.7  240  21 11   8.0   4.4 | -12.3   9.9  230  25 13   7.7   4.2
 15000 -10.6  12.9  240  19 10   8.2   4.5 | -10.6  12.9  230  24 12   8.0   4.4
 14500  -9.4  15.1  235  18  9   8.4   4.6 |  -9.3  15.3  230  23 12   8.4   4.6
 14000  -8.2  17.2  235  17  9   8.5   4.7 |  -8.1  17.4  225  22 11   8.5   4.7
 13500  -6.9  19.6  230  16  8   8.9   4.9 |  -6.8  19.8  225  21 11   9.0   4.9
 13000  -5.5  22.1  230  15  7   9.0   4.9 |  -5.5  22.1  225  20 10   9.0   4.9
 12500  -4.2  24.4  225  14  7   9.4   5.2 |  -4.1  24.6  225  19 10   9.0   4.9
 12000  -2.8  27.0  225  13  7   9.4   5.2 |  -2.8  27.0  225  17  9   9.0   4.9
 11500  -1.4  29.5  225  12  6   9.3   5.1 |  -1.5  29.3  225  16  8   9.0   4.9
 11000   0.0  32.0  225  11  6   9.1   5.0 |  -0.1  31.8  225  15  8   9.1   5.0
 10500   1.2  34.2  225  10  5   6.7   3.7 |   1.1  34.0  225  13  7   7.3   4.0
 10250   1.8  35.2  220   9  5   9.6   5.3 |   1.7  35.1  225  12  6   8.9   4.9
 10000   2.7  36.9  220   9  5  12.6   6.9 |   2.5  36.5  230  12  6  11.3   6.2
  9750   3.5  38.3  225   9  5  10.0   5.5 |   3.3  37.9  230  11  6   9.9   5.5
  9500   4.2  39.6  225   8  4   8.6   4.7 |   3.9  39.0  230  11  5   8.5   4.7
  9250   4.8  40.6  225   8  4   8.9   4.9 |   4.6  40.3  235  10  5   8.9   4.9
  9000   5.5  41.9  225   7  4  10.9   6.0 |   5.2  41.4  235   9  5   9.3   5.1
  8750   6.4  43.5  225   8  4  11.0   6.1 |   5.9  42.6  240   9  4   9.1   5.0
  8500   7.1  44.8  225   7  4   9.4   5.2 |   6.6  43.9  245   8  4   8.5   4.7
  8250   7.9  46.2  225   7  4  10.2   5.6 |   7.2  45.0  250   7  4   8.5   4.7
  8000   8.6  47.5  225   7  3   8.7   4.8 |   7.8  46.0  255   7  4   9.1   5.0
  7750   9.2  48.6  225   6  3   9.1   5.0 |   8.5  47.3  260   7  3   9.0   5.0
  7500  10.0  50.0  230   6  3  11.0   6.0 |   9.1  48.4  270   6  3   8.2   4.5
  7250  10.8  51.4  230   6  3  10.1   5.5 |   9.8  49.6  280   6  3   8.9   4.9
  7000  11.4  52.5  230   5  3   7.3   4.0 |  10.4  50.7  285   6  3   6.8   3.7
  6750  12.0  53.6  230   5  3   9.2   5.1 |  10.8  51.4  290   7  3   7.9   4.4
  6500  12.9  55.2  235   5  2  12.9   7.1 |  11.6  52.9  295   7  3  10.9   6.0
  6250  13.8  56.8  235   5  2  10.6   5.8 |  12.4  54.3  300   7  3  10.0   5.5
  6000  14.5  58.1  235   4  2   8.7   4.8 |  13.1  55.6  305   7  4   8.9   4.9
  5750  15.1  59.2  240   4  2   9.3   5.1 |  13.7  56.7  305   7  3   9.5   5.2
  5500  16.0  60.8  240   4  2  15.0   8.3 |  14.5  58.1  305   6  3  13.3   7.3
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC).  It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton
Airport site in Denver, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec
                   Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613


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