987
FNUS71 KCTP 011702
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Snake RX...DCNR - Loyalsock State Forest
National Weather Service State College PA
102 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 02.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Abundant sunshine and dry weather is expected today and Thursday
across central PA. MinRH is forecast to drop to 25-35% during the
afternoon hours today and Thursday. Westerly winds could gust up
to 20 mph on Thursday.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 76.
Min Humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing Height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 14 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................41 to 57.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  19  18  17  24  30  37  35  34  32
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  61  64  67  69  71  73  74  74  75
RH................  62  54  47  42  39  35  34  35  34
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  11  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  12
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.1 2.7 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.9 5.1 4.8
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  14  16  16  17  18  18  18  18  18
LVORI.............  2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  41  41  41  54  54  54  57  57  57
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 50.
Max Humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 7 mph becoming light.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 16 mph shifting to the northeast 7
                    to 12 mph late in the evening.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 to 11.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  25  19  12  16  20  24  27  29  32  32  33  33
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  72  70  67  64  61  58  56  55  53  52  51  50
RH................  38  41  45  50  56  62  66  66  71  74  77  80
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  11  10  10  10  8   8   7   7   6   6   5   5
Mix Hgt (kft).....  3.3 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp Wind Spd...  16  15  13  13  12  12  12  10  10  9   8   7
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
ADI...............  11  11  11  8   8   8   5   5   5   4   4   4
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 73.
Min Humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....East around 7 mph shifting to the south early
                    in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 to 33.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  34  36  37  40  42  45  44  43  47  50  54  57
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  51  53  54  57  60  64  66  69  71  71  71  71
RH................  77  74  71  67  62  56  52  49  46  47  47  47
20 FT Wind Dir....  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT Wind Gust...  5   5   6   6   7   8   8   10  10  10  11  12
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.6 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.2
Transp Wind Dir...  E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  7   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  12  12
LVORI.............  4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
ADI...............  9   9   9   22  22  22  28  28  28  33  33  33
Haines Index......  5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Gartner
Requested by...Craig Aldenderfer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412937.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL caldenderf@pa.gov