Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA
Issued by NWS State College, PA
368
FNUS71 KCTP 011537
FWSCTP
Spot Forecast for Trophy Squirrel Block 2...PA DCNR Bureau of Forestry
National Weather Service State College PA
1137 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 2300 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.
.DISCUSSION...
Abundant sunshine and dry weather is expected today and Thursday
across central PA. MinRH is forecast to drop to 25-35% during the
afternoon hours today and Thursday. Westerly winds could gust up
to 20 mph on Thursday.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent) then becoming mostly clear
(15-25 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 53.
Max Humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
west early in the morning.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 to 8.
TIME (EDT) 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)........... 3 30 27 30 13 16 19
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp.............. 60 60 58 56 56 55 53
RH................ 62 62 69 74 74 77 83
20 FT Wind Dir.... SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT Wind Spd.... 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT Wind Gust... 10 10 10 10 8 8 8
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Transp Wind Dir... SW SW SW W W W W
Transp Wind Spd... 10 12 10 12 12 10 10
LVORI............. 3 3 3 3 3 4 5
ADI............... 7 8 8 8 5 5 5
Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 75.
Min Humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing Height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 18 mph shifting to the northwest 18
to 21 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................24 to 59.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)........... 20 20 21 22 23 24 28 31 35 35 34 34
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp.............. 54 54 55 58 62 65 68 70 73 73 74 74
RH................ 80 80 77 67 56 48 43 39 35 35 34 34
20 FT Wind Dir.... W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT Wind Spd.... 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6
20 FT Wind Gust... 10 11 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 12 11
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.5 0.6 1.4 1.9 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.3
Transp Wind Dir... W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW
Transp Wind Spd... 9 10 15 16 18 20 18 20 20 21 20 18
LVORI............. 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 24 24 24 47 47 47 54 54 54 59 59 59
Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 48.
Max Humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 6 mph decreasing to around 5
mph late in the evening, then becoming light
overnight.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 7
to 9 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 10.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)........... 28 22 16 16 17 17 21 26 30 31 33 34
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp.............. 71 68 65 62 58 55 53 52 50 49 49 48
RH................ 38 43 48 54 62 69 74 77 83 86 83 86
20 FT Wind Dir.... NW N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT Wind Spd.... 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3
20 FT Wind Gust... 10 10 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 4 4
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 3.1 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir... NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE E
Transp Wind Spd... 15 13 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7
LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5
ADI............... 10 10 10 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3
Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 75.
Min Humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph late
in the morning.
Mixing Height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 7 mph shifting to the south 8
to 13 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 to 35.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)........... 36 38 40 41 43 44 46 48 50 53 55 57
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp.............. 49 51 52 56 60 64 67 70 73 73 73 73
RH................ 86 83 83 72 64 56 52 47 44 46 46 48
20 FT Wind Dir.... E E E E SE SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT Wind Spd.... 3 3 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 8
20 FT Wind Gust... 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 10 10 11 11 12
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9
Transp Wind Dir... E SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
Transp Wind Spd... 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 13
LVORI............. 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1
ADI............... 7 7 7 20 20 20 27 27 27 35 35 35
Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
$$
Forecaster...Gartner
Requested by...Brian L Plume
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412832.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bplume@pa.gov