Text Products for ESP Issued by FWR

Extended Streamflow Prediction
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC
Versions: 1
000
FGUS64 KFWR 041935
ESPFWR

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER
YEAR 2024 WATER SUPPLY FORECAST VALID FOR APRIL 01, 2024 ISSUED APRIL 04, 2024

NORTHWESTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO
                                                    50%  % OF   95%    75%    25%    5%   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  MED  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   MED
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
RWGC2 RIO GRANDE AT WAGON WHEEL GAP       APR-SEP    277   89    196    238    311    481    310
SRGC2 SF RIO GRANDE AT SOUTH FORK         APR-SEP     99   88     59     79    115    169    112
DNRC2 RIO GRANDE NR DEL NORTE             APR-SEP    450   93    290    371    500    762    480
SCKC2 SAGUACHE CK NR SAGUACHE             APR-SEP     30  103     15     22     42     62     29
TERC2 ALAMOSA CK AB TERRACE RESERVOIR     APR-SEP     54   88     30     40     62     84     61
MOGC2 CONEJOS R NR MOGOTE                 APR-SEP    175  104    106    140    193    245    168

NORTHEASTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO
                                                    50%  % OF   95%    75%    25%    5%   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  MED  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   MED
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
SLUC2 CULEBRA CK AT SAN LUIS              APR-SEP     17  101    8.1     12     22     33     17

MIDDLE SANGRE MTNS IN NEW MEXICO
                                                    50%  % OF   95%    75%    25%    5%   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  MED  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   MED
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
RRFN5 RED R BL FISH HATCHERY NR QUESTA    MAR-JUL     25   80     15     19     28     39     31
VADN5 RIO HONDO NR VALDEZ                 MAR-JUL     12   79    7.3    9.5     14     21     15
TBCN5 RIO PUEBLO DE TAOS BL LOS CORDOVAS  MAR-JUL     25  119     15     19     29     58     21
DIXN5 EMBUDO CK AT DIXON                  MAR-JUL     55  171     34     42     63    105     32
CYON5 SANTA CRUZ R AT CUNDIYO             MAR-JUL     18  108     13     15     21     29     17

EL VADO
                                                    50%  % OF   95%    75%    25%    5%   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  MED  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   MED
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
RCEN5 EL VADO RESERVOIR INFLOW            MAR-JUL    138   74     80    106    180    238    186

MAINSTEM ROUTINGS
                                                    50%  % OF   95%    75%    25%    5%   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  MED  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   MED
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
OTWN5 RIO GRANDE AT OTOWI BRIDGE***       MAR-JUL    906   NA    621    745   1120   1538   NA
SMFN5 RIO GRANDE AT SAN MARCIAL***        MAR-JUL    854   NA    549    671   1010   1369   NA


PECOS
                                                    50%  % OF   95%    75%    25%    5%   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  MED  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   MED
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
PCON5 PECOS R NR PECOS                    MAR-JUL     47   88     28     36     54     90     53
ATCN5 PECOS R NR ANTON CHICO              MAR-JUL     58  109     36     46     65    127     53
MTZN5 GALLINAS CK NR MONTEZUMA            MAR-JUL    9.3  132    5.1    6.9     13     22    7.0
SRDN5 PECOS R AB SANTA ROSA LK            MAR-JUL     56  136     33     43     64    131     41


RIO CHAMA SYSTEM
                                                    50%  % OF   95%    75%    25%    5%   30-YR
FORECAST POINT                            PERIOD   (KAF)  MED  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)  (KAF)   MED
--------------                            ------   ----- ----  -----  -----  -----  -----  -----
LMDN5 RIO OJO CALIENTE AT LA MADERA       MAR-JUN     36  133     17     22     45     74     27
CMTN5 RIO CHAMA NR CHAMITA                MAR-MAY    217   99    119    155    262    352    218


***RUNOFF FORECAST VOLUMES AT OTWN5 AND SMFN5 REPRESENT THE TOTAL NATURAL VOLUME YIELDS. FORECASTS
   AT THESE LOCATIONS DO NOT ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACTS OF REGULATION, STORAGE, DIVERSIONS
   AND/OR RETURNS.  PERCENT OF AVERAGE VALUES ARE NOT CALCULATED BECAUSE THE FORECAST VOLUME SHOULD
   NOT BE DIRECTLY COMPARED TO THE 30-YEAR AVERAGE OBSERVED VOLUME.

   5%, 25%, 50%, 75%  95% CHANCE THAT ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED FORECAST.
   AVERAGES ARE FOR THE 1991-2020 PERIOD.
   ALL VOLUMES ARE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET.  MEDIAN VALUE ARE USED IN PLACE OF AVERAGE.

   ****************************************************************

   *        CONTACT SR-FWR.ALL@NOAA.GOV FOR QUESTIONS             *

   *        FOR BASIN SNOWPACK INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO        *

   *       HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WGRF_SOIL_MOISTURE        *

   *     FOR USGS SURFACE-WATER DATA FOR COLORADO - REFER TO      *

   *       HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/CO/NWIS/SW                  *

   *    CURRENT CONDITIONS FOR NEW MEXICO RESERVOIRS - REFER TO   *

   *    HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/NM/NWIS/CURRENT?TYPE=LAKE      *

   *                                                              *

   ****************************************************************
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
