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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 160705
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
305 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will lead to unseasonably warm and quiet weather
through midweek. A series of weak disturbances bring only a
slight chance of showers towards later in the week. Some slightly
higher relative humidity values are slated for late week into
next weekend. Rain chances may start to increase later in the
weekend, with temperatures gradually starting to fall.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-162315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
305 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 89 59 86
Min/Max RH (%) 34 94 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/1000 2000 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 4500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62000 67500
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 28 Fair 25 Fair
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 3 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-162315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
305 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 89 60 85
Min/Max RH (%) 34 90 31
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 1900 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55200 59200
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 45 Gen Good 30 Fair
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 7 Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs around
70. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-162315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
305 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 89 60 85
Min/Max RH (%) 33 92 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81900 55500
ADI Early 23 Fair 48 Gen Good 32 Fair
ADI Late 76 Good 6 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-162315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
305 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 89 60 85
Min/Max RH (%) 33 86 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 1900 72/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 3100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68000 52700
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 65 Good 32 Fair
ADI Late 80 Good 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 2 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 85 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs around
70. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO
- National Weather Service
- Des Moines, IA Weather Forecast Office
- 9607 NW Beaver Drive
- Johnston, IA 50131-1908
- 515-270-2614
- Page Author: DMX Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: w-dmx.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Sep 19th, 2023 19:10 UTC