Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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Spot Forecast for Presidio New Start...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
644 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 CDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Recovery overnight will be poor in the Presidio Valley. However, a
cold front will move into the area around sunrise, bringing a
little relief, and a little moisture along with it. Friday night,
recovery will be excellent as moisture continues to advect into
the area, along with a chance of thunderstorms.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph decreasing to 6 to
                    7 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......12400 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 18 mph shifting to the northwest 7
                    to 8 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............98     89     83     76     72     66
RH..............6      10     11     13     16     22
20 FT wind dir..NW     N      NW     NW     NW     N
20 FT wind spd..9      7      7      7      6      6
20 FT wind gust.14
Mix hgt (ft)....12400  500    500    500    500    500
Transp wind dir.W      NW     W      NW     W      NW
Transp wind spd.18     8      8      8      7      7
Haines index....6      6      6      5      5      5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the east 8
                    to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph shifting to the east 9 to
                    16 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............64        71        86        93
RH..............23        28        32        23
20 FT wind dir..N         NW        E         E
20 FT wind spd..6         6         8         13
20 FT wind gust.                              14
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1200      4300      8100
Transp wind dir.NE        E         E         SE
Transp wind spd.7         7         9         14
Haines index....5         5         5         5

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms overnight.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0100, then 1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 14 to 23 mph decreasing to around 13
                    mph early in the morning. Gusts up to 32 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 16 to 25 mph shifting to the southeast 14
                    to 15 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY
Weather cov.....          SCTTRD    SCTTRD    ISOLTD
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          SCTTRD    SCTTRD    ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).10        30        30        20
LAL.............1         1         1         2
Temp............94        82        76        73
RH..............23        47        64        77
20 FT wind dir..E         E         E         E
20 FT wind spd..16        23        17        15
20 FT wind gust.18        26        19        17
Mix hgt (ft)....8200      1400      1100      900
Transp wind dir.E         E         E         SE
Transp wind spd.17        25        20        16
Haines index....4         5         5         5

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance
                    of showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0700, then No Tstms until
                    1600, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 12 mph shifting to the south 10
                    to 13 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......9600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 15 to 16 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
Weather cov.....ISOLTD                    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       NONE         RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).20           10           40
LAL.............2            1            1
Temp............69           78           91
RH..............84           68           37
20 FT wind dir..E            E            S
20 FT wind spd..12           9            10
20 FT wind gust.13           13           13
Mix hgt (ft)....800          3200         8300
Transp wind dir.E            SE           SW
Transp wind spd.13           10           15
Haines index....3            4            3

$$

Forecaster...Deberry
Requested by...Kasie Phillips
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2413663.0/MAF
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu