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000
FNUS76 KMFR 110404
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Pear Blossom Festival...PBF Board
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
904 PM PDT Wed Apr 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 PDT on April 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION....Dry and warm weather will continue into Thursday.
The first signs of a change in the weather will be some mid-level
clouds and the development of breezy northwest winds at 10 to 15
mph on Thursday afternoon. Low pressure moving southeast from the
Gulf of Alaska to the California coast will bring rain chances
early Friday morning through Sunday morning. The highest
probability for rain will be late Saturday afternoon through
Saturday evening and secondarily during Friday afternoon through
Friday evening. The details are difficult to determine as this
will not be a case of a frontal passage with a distinct beginning
and end, but instead a series of disturbances will rotate around
the upper level low and across our area. Along with peak day-time
heating enhancing the probability of showers late in the day, it
will also bring a slight chance of thunderstorms.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers (20%) then rain showers becoming
                    likely (60%) around 2 PM with a slight chance
                    (20%) of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.05 inches.
SUNSET..............751 PM.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely (60%) in the evening, with a slight
                    chance (20%) of thunderstorms, then a slight
                    chance (20%) of rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Pcpn amount.........0.08 inches.
SUNRISE.............633 AM.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning (30%), then rain showers
                    developing (becoming 80% after 2 PM) with a
                    slight chance (20%) of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.12 inches.
SUNSET..............752 PM.

.OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY APRIL 20...

Mostly sunny and dry with above normal temperatures.
Low in the lower 40s. High in the mid 70s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

=
$$
Forecaster...WEYGAND
Requested by...Darcey Mann-Self
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2409817.3/MFR
.DELDT 04/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL darcey.mann.self@highstreetins.com