397
FNUS73 KMPX 011403
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Appleton...FWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
903 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Appleton Rx Burn, clouds will increase
through this afternoon with temperatures in the mid 60s. West
winds will be a bit breezy this morning before diminishing later
this morning and turning more northwest by mid afternoon. RH
values will fall to around 30%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent).
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 66.
RH..................56 percent at ignition...Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 14 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 6 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /66900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /76900 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 23 mph shifting to the northwest 9
                    to 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky cover.......PC  MCR MCR MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  58  61  62  63  64  64  63  63  61  58  56
RH..............56  51  45  41  38  35  35  39  41  50  57  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..14  14  13  12  9   8   6   1   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.23  22  21  18  15  13  10  9   8   8   9   10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 4.0 4.3 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.3 3.1 2.4 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NE  E   SE  E
Transp wind spd.23  22  20  18  14  10  9   7   6   6   8   9
Haines index....5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers overnight. Chance of rain showers after
                    3 am, then rain showers likely early in the
                    morning.
Temperature.........Min 48.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 6 to 13 mph early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely in
                    the morning, then chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 55.
RH..................Min 74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (41700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 24 mph decreasing to around 13 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412911.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov